Canada's merchandise trade report massively missed expectations (-3.0bn vs est. -0.8bn) with the deficit wideningto a record in March, and the Feb deficit revised much wider as well (to -2.2bn from 1.0bn).
In volume terms, the picture was not much better, with an export gain of 1.5% in March only partly unwinding a large revision in Feb to -4.2% (was - 3.0%).
Import volumes were up 1.8% from a revised 2.5% drop in Feb (was -1.7%). A clear driver in this report was softer energy prices, and volumes are still slightly up in Q1 (now expected to add 0.2ppt vs 0.5ppt prior).
A larger inventory build leaves the economists still projecting flat growth for the quarter. There were no FX implications from BoC Dep.
Gov. Wilkins' speech on "Liquid Markets for a Solid Economy", which was essentially a summary of earlier released public consultation papers on the framework for financial market operations and emergency lending assistance policies.
Commentary
Canada's merchandise trade report massively missed expectations
Canada's merchandise trade report massively missed expectations (-3.0bn vs est. -0.8bn) with the deficit wideningto a record in March, and the Feb deficit revised much wider as well (to -2.2bn from 1.0bn). In volume term…
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