Policy divergence and US growth outperformance are expected to underpin the dollar, even if downside risks in China are realized. EUR/USD forecasts are at 1.00 for year-end 2015.
"Year-end USD/JPY and GBP/USD forecasts remain at 125 and 1.49, respectively. In the dollar bloc, USD/CAD profile had been rose, now seeing it at 1.32 and 1.35for YE '15 and '16. In the Skandies, we raise EUR/NOK and EUR/SEK to 8.70 and 9.30 for YE '15 and 8.30 and 9.10 for YE '16", says RBC capital markets.
In Emerging Markets currencies, key Asia EM FX forecasts largely remain the same, calling for upside in USD-CNY. Around LatAm FX, there is higher forecast profiles for both USD-BRL and USD-MXN.
"The biggest risk to the USD view is weak US data that delays the Fed and better Eurozone data that prevents the ECB from taking the dovish turn", added RBC Capital Markets.






