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Darkfost's Bitcoin Indicator Enters a Range Seen in Bear Markets

The reading estimates sellers' incentive to keep selling. Darkfost said the historical pattern does not ensure recovery without stronger demand.

Updated 1 min read
A commuter checks an unlabeled Bitcoin price chart on a phone in Seoul’s Yeouido district. / TokenPost.ai (mono)
A commuter checks an unlabeled Bitcoin price chart on a phone in Seoul’s Yeouido district. / TokenPost.ai (mono)

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost said Bitcoin (BTC) still lacks the buyers needed for a recovery, even as his seller-exhaustion indicator has dropped into a range observed in bear markets.

Darkfost's reading weighs the share of Bitcoin supply held at a profit against average monthly volatility to estimate whether sellers have reason to keep selling. He linked the reading's decline with Bitcoin's retreat and short-term profit-taking, and said BTC had fallen more than 10% from a previous high.

Past periods of easing selling pressure have helped market bottoms form, Darkfost said, but that historical pattern does not guarantee a recovery. He said buyers would need to return more strongly to support a rebound. The indicator estimates sellers' incentive; buyer demand remains a separate condition for recovery.

That demand question also featured in an earlier EconoTimes report on spot demand, which said a 30-day gauge had turned negative as exchange balances rose.

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