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Dollar Dives Amidst Political and Technical Pressures

USDCHF trades weak on board-based US dollar weakness.  It hits an low of 0.80396 and is currently trading around 0.80778. Intraday bias appears to be bearish as long as the resistance 0.8270 holds. 

The U.S. dollar dipped to a three-year low on April 21, 2025, after President Trump's increased condemnation of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell escalated to a boiling point, as the euro rose to its strongest since November 2021. Trump's outrage over the Fed's determination of interest rates and threat that he might fire Powell triggered this drop, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett explained, which was under investigation. Markets responded adversely, fearing the compromise of Fed independence and higher inflation and volatility in the markets. Investors then began diversifying out of US assets, such as treasuries, into safe-haven assets like gold

Technical Analysis Points to Further Downside

The pair is trading below the 34-EMA and below  55-EMA on the 4-hour chart indicates a minor up trend. The immediate resistance is at 0.8130 any break above  targets 0.8165/ 0.82250/0.8270/0.8320. 

Support Levels and Potential Declines

On the downside, near-term support is around 0.8070, any violation below will drag the pair to 0.8050/0.8030/0.8000.

Bearish Indicators

CCI (50) - Bearish
Directional movement Index -  Neutral

Trading Strategy Recommendation

It is good to sell on rallies around 0.82050 with a stop-loss at 0.82650 for a TP of 0.8000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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