FxWirePro: 100-DMA caps USD/JPY upside, further gains only on break above
Thursday, October 6, 2016 5:54 AM UTC
- Overnight data showed US ISM non-manufacturing index rebounds to the best level in nearly a year.
- Bulls appear to face exhaustion in Asian session today, pair trades a narrow range.
- Stiff resistance seen at 103.67 (100-DMA), only break above could see further upside.
- NFP is the main risk event for the major, will determine if the Fed remains on track to raise rates this year.
- Major support levels - 103, 102.67 (Oct 5 lows), 102, 101.73 (20-DMA)
- Major resistance levels - 103.67 (100-DMA), 104, 104.32 (Spet 2 high)
- Breakout above 100-DMA could see test of 104.32, while on the flipside, rejection there could see drag to 101.75 levels.
- We would wait for confirmation on technicals to initiate trade.