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FxWirePro: AUD/USD holds above 200-DMA, Aussies slightly bid on upbeat trade data

AUD/USD pared dismal Australia GDP-led losses, edges higher from session lows at 0.7772 to close above 0.78 handle on Wednesday's trade. The pair was supported higher by renewed US Dollar weakness, led by reviving fears …

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FxWirePro: AUD/USD holds above 200-DMA, Aussies slightly bid on upbeat trade data
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  • AUD/USD pared dismal Australia GDP-led losses, edges higher from session lows at 0.7772 to close above 0.78 handle on Wednesday's trade.
     
  • The pair was supported higher by renewed US Dollar weakness, led by reviving fears of a global trade war.
     
  • Data released earlier today showed Australia trade balance for January posted a surplus of AUD 1055 million, far wider than the AUD 300 million estimate. 
     
  • The major continues trade in a narrow range, but holds above .78 handle and strong support at 110-EMA at 0.7813.
     
  • Technical indicators are biased neutral. Upside remains capped at 20-DMA which is stiff resistance at 0.7837. 
     
  • Break out at 20-DMA could see further upside. Scope then for test of 0.7893 (Feb 26 high).
     
  • Focus now on China trade data for further impetus. 

Support levels - 0.7818 (cloud base), 0.7813 (110-EMA), 0.7801 (5-DMA)

Resistance levels - 0.7837 (20-DMA), 0.7893 (Feb 26 high), 0.7886 (23.6% Fib)

Recommendation: Watch out for break above 20-DMA to go long, target 0.7890/ 0.7935/ 0.7985.

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