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FxWirePro: AUD/USD reverses Capex led slump, retakes the 0.72 handle

  • Data released earlier today showed that headline Australian private capex figures came in much weaker than expectations.
     
  • Q1 Australian capex (private capital expenditure) reading shows a capex of -5.2% q/q vs -3.5% expected and compared to a revised +1.8% last quarter.
     
  • Weak data led to a 15-pips knee-jerk downward slump in the major, lows of 0.7161 were hit.
     
  • The pair has since recovered almost entire slide and is back above the 0.72 handle, currently trading around 0.7207.
     
  • AUD/USD's recovery was capped at 61.8% Fib retrace level at 0.7212, further upside can be seen only on decisive breaks above.
     
  • Above 0.7212 (61.8% Fib resistance) the pair finds next major hurdle at 0.7242 levels. 
     
  • Weakly charts are biased lower, we see scope for test of 0.7042 (78.6% Fib), bearish invalidation only above 0.73 levels.
     
  • RBA Governor Stevens’ dovish comments earlier this week and rising expectations that the Fed could hike at any of the next few meetings keep upside limited.
     
  • US durable goods orders, due later in the NA session and RBA member Debelle’s speech and Fedspeaks will be closely watched.
     
  • Market Data
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