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FxWirePro- BTCUSD Daily Outlook

BTCUSD surged sharply for the past two days and hit a 21-month high as demand for safe-haven demand increased. It hit a high of $45922 and is currently trading around $45081.

 

BTC ETF

 

According to a Reuters report, the Securities and Exchange Commission  will approve a spot ETF by Jan 10th.

 

Major Economic data for the week

 

Jan 3rd, 2024, US IS Manufacturing PMI  (3:00 pm GMT)

 

                        FOMC meeting minutes (7:00 pm GMT)

 

Jan 4th, 2024, German Prelim CPI m/m

                               

US ADP employment data  (1:30 pm GMT)

 

Jan 5th, 2024,  US Nonfarm payroll (1:30 pm GMT)

                           

                        US ISM services PMI (3 pm GMT)

            

 

Factors to watch for Bitcoin price action-

 

  US markets -

 

 NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC) - Bullish (neutral for BTC). The 60-day correlation between Bitcoin and NASDAQ 100 turned negative, according to data from Kaiko. Any close below 16400 will drag the index to 16000/15697.

 

 According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in  Jan increased to 89.10% from 83.5% a week ago.

 

 

 Technicals-

 

Minor support- $43700.  Any break below will take it to the next level at $41790/$40700.

 

 Bull case-

 

Primary supply zone -$46000.  Any surge past this level confirms a bullish continuation. A jump to $48000/$50000 is possible.      

 

  Secondary barrier- $50000. A close above that barrier targets $52000/$56600.

 

 It is good to buy on dips around $41800 with SL around $39800 for TP of $50000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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