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FxWirePro- BTCUSD Daily Outlook

BTCUSD spared some of its gains on risk aversion. It hit a high of $57737 yesterday and is currently trading at around $54725.

 

Morgan Stanley advisors, controlling $1.3T in wealth, can offer BTC ETFs to their clients starting today. Assuming that 0.01% of assets are interested is $13B more in assets coming into crypto.

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 50 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 73.50% from 11.0% a week ago.

 

  US markets -

 

 NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC) - Bearish  (neutral for BTC). The NASDAQ showed a minor pullback after the BOJ confirmed there would not be further rate hikes. Any close above 18500 will take the index to 19000.

 

 Technicals-

 

BTCUSD trades below the short-term moving average (21 and 55 EMA) and the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the 4-hour chart.

 

Minor support- $54500.  Any break below will take it to the next level at $53000/$50000/$46000.

 

 Bull case-

 

Primary supply zone -$58000.  Any break above confirms a bullish continuation. A jump to $60000/$63000/$65000/$70000 is possible.      

 

  Secondary barrier- $70000. A close above that barrier targets $750000/$80000.

 

 It is good to buy on dips around $51500 with SL around $49500 for TP of $60000/$63000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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