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FxWirePro: Bullish divergence keeps scope for upside in AUD/USD, go long on break above 200-DMA

RBA's quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy (SOMP) showed the central bank concerned about the strength of the Aussie. RBA revised up outlook for jobs growth, forecasts unemployment rate at 5.5 pct out to June 2019, 5.2…

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FxWirePro: Bullish divergence keeps scope for upside in AUD/USD, go long on break above 200-DMA
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  • RBA's quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy (SOMP) showed the central bank concerned about the strength of the Aussie.
     
  • RBA revised up outlook for jobs growth, forecasts unemployment rate at 5.5 pct out to June 2019, 5.25 pct by Dec 2019.
     
  • AUD/USD slipped lower on dovish headlines, has erased losses to currently trade at 0.7684, up 0.1% on the day.
     
  • Broad-based USD weakness on concerns over corporate tax cuts delays support the pair higher, keep downside limited.
     
  • Technical studies have also turned slightly bullish for the pair. RSI biased higher and Stochs show rollover from oversold levels.
     
  • 200-DMA at 0.7697 is major resistance, breakout above to see further gains.
     
  • The major finds strong trendline support at 0.7635, we see weakness only on break below.

Support levels - 0.7673 (5-DMA), 0.7635 (trendline), 0.7625 (Oct 27 low), 0.7571 (July 5 low)

Resistance levels - 0.7697 (200-DMA), 0.7726 (50% Fib retrace of 0.7328 to 0.8125 rally), 0.7729 (20-DMA)

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at 69.5271 (Neutral), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at -138.767 (Bearish) at 0440 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

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