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FxWirePro: Chinese yaun falls on Moody's downgrade rating

USD/CNY is currently trading around 6.8919 marks. It made intraday high at 6.8942 and low at 6.8879 levels. Intraday bias remains bullish till the time pair holds key support at 6.8800 marks. A sustained close above 6.89…

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FxWirePro: Chinese yaun falls on Moody's downgrade rating
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  • USD/CNY is currently trading around 6.8919 marks.
     
  • It made intraday high at 6.8942 and low at 6.8879 levels.
     
  • Intraday bias remains bullish till the time pair holds key support at 6.8800 marks. 

  • A sustained close above 6.89 marks will test key resistances at 6.8953, 6.9010, 6.9080, 6.9146, 6.9204, 6.9336, 6.9496, 6.9615, 6.9778 and 6.9883 marks respectively.

  • Alternatively, a daily close below 6.89 will drag the parity down towards key supports at 6.88, 6.8701, 6.8683, 6.8550, 6.8465, 6.8333, 6.8298, 6.8090 and 6.7769 marks respectively.
     
  • PBOC sets yuan mid-point at 6.8758/ dlr vs last close 6.8890.
     
  • Moody's Investors Service downgraded China's credit rating to A1 from Aa3, changing its outlook to stable from negative.
     
  • Moody's on China - GDP will remain very large; growth will remain high compared to other sovereigns, potential growth is likely to fall in coming years.
     
  • Moody's on China - Expect China's growth potential to decline to close to 5% over the next five years.

  • Moody's on China - Expect the government's direct debt burden to rise gradually towards 40% of GDP by 2018 and closer to 45% by the end of the decade.

We prefer to take long position in USD/CNY around 6.8900, stop loss 6.8800 and target of 6.9080/6.9157.

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