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FxWirePro- Crude oil Daily Outlook

Crude oil showed a nice pullback on strong US retail sales.  

 

US retail sales surged sharply to 1% biggest increase in the past 1-1/2 years, compared to a forecast of 0.30%. Automobile sales mainly led the jump.

 

Markets eye Gaza ceasefire talks and Middle East geo-political situation for further direction.

 

Major factors supporting  higher Crude oil price

 

US dollar index - Bearish

 

US treasury yield- weak (positive for commodity market). Market anticipates rate cut by Sep.

 

 

Major resistance- $79.Any breach above will take the commodity to the next level $80.20/$80.60/$81.54/$82.90/$84.50. Major trend reversal only above $84.50.

 

The near-term support is around $77.80, any violation below targets is $77.40/$76.

 

It is good to buy on dips around $77 with SL around $76 for TP of 84.

 

 

 

 

 

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