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FxWirePro- DXY Daily Outlook


Major support- 100

 

Major resistance- 102

 

DXY  gained momentum despite dismal US Non-farm Payroll data. It hit a low of 100.58 and is currently trading around 101.08.

 

Time (GMT)

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

12:30 pm

US

Non-Farm Employment change

142K

164K

114K

12:30 pm

US

Unemployment rate

4.2%

4.2%

4.3%

12:30 pm

US

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

0.40%

0.30%

0.30%

 

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 50 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 51% from 30% a week ago.

On the lower side, near-term support is around 100.60 and the violation below will drag the index down to 100/99.57/99/98. Significant resistance is around 101.20 and breach above targets 101.60/102/102.75/103.22. Overall bearish invalidation only above  104.

 

Indicator (4-hour chart)

 

CCI (14)- Bearish

 

CCI (50)- Bearish

 

 

It is good to sell on rallies around 101.20-25 with SL around 101.60 for TP of 100.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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