As you can observe the ATM premiums are trading 38% more than NPV, so hedging with these overpriced at the money instruments would not be cost effective as its delta amounting close to 50% would collapse as the time decay implies drastically as the IV is expected to reduce further.
For instance, suppose we've constructed an at the money put option of EURCHF with 1W expiry and with this given maturity has reduced its implied volatility from 6.4% to 5.3% and it is likely to remain in this lackluster zone (historically these vols have never disappointed).
In a true smile, options with an at-the-money strike are priced with a lower volatility than out-of-the-money and in-the-money volatility strikes. Such market occurrences are observable in the EURCHF FX OTC market.
From the nutshell evidencing risk reversals, 25-delta risk of reversals of EUR/CHF the most expensive pair to be hedged for downside risks after AUDUSD as it indicates puts have been overpriced.
As it showed the highest tendency towards downside hedging activity, alternatively synthetic positions would come into arrest these downside risks.
This expensive options situation could be dealt by shorting spot FX and simultaneously by going long in an at the money call.
The payoff function (Profit/Loss) from this strategy replicate exactly as those from the long put positions.
The two combination create a synthetic long ATM put position with the same risk/reward profile of the overpriced ATM put.


FxWirePro: GBP/AUD runs out of steam but maintains bullish outlook
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD loses upside momentum but outlook is bullish
FxWirePro: AUD/ USD strongly bearish despite upside attempts
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: USD/ZAR bears maintain upper hand
FxWirePro: USD/ CNY falls towards 6.750, bears keep the advantage
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro- Woodies pivot (Major)
ECB Hikes, Euro Dives: EURUSD Bears Reload for a Run to 1.1400
FxWirePro- Major European Indices
FxWirePro: GBP/USD range-bound as Iran uncertainty keeps traders cautious
CAD/JPY Breaks Down: Loonie Weakness and BOC Patience Set Bears’ Sights on 110
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD eases on Geopolitical whipsaw
FxWirePro- Woodies pivot (Major)
Ethereum Cracks Under $1,700: Sell the Rally Near $1,750 as Bears Eye $1,380–$1,200




