Everyone dealing with Euro expecting ECB to increase easing volumes, but for now it seems unlikely that the QE volume has to be increased to € 70, 75 or 80 billion and the deposit rate is lowered by 10, 15 or 20 bps.
Euro's volatility is speculating ahead of these significant economic policies, EURGBP's implied volatility of ATM contracts is expected to be perceived at 12.5% for 1w expiries of this the pair.
NPV of ATM put is at 456.66 while Premiums trading above 15.13% at GBP 525.80 for lot size 100,000 units.
Thereby, comparing this difference in options premiums and NPV with implied volatility in market sentiments we think the hedging cost would not be economical on downside deploying ATM put instruments.
Thus the alternative is that, in forwards markets at least..?, Subsequently, here comes the strategy arbitrage strategy in which options trading that can be performed for a riskless profit as EURGBP ATM call options are overpriced relative to the underlying exchange rate of EURGBP.
To perform this conversion, the hedger holds the underlying spot FX and offset it with an equivalent synthetic short spot FX (long put + short call) position.
Profit is locked in immediately when the conversion is done, the profit would be strike price of call/put - purchase price of underlying + call premium - put premium.


FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
AUDJPY Cracks Below 113: Bearish Breakdown Accelerates Toward 110.50 Target
FxWirePro- Woodies pivot (Major)
FxWirePro- Major European Indices
FxWirePro: GBP/NZD edges lower but bias is bullish
FxWirePro: AUD/USD holds narrow range, focus on near-term support
Sterling Surge: GBP/JPY Smashes Above 214 With Triple EMA Blessing; Bulls Eye 217
FxWirePro: NZD/USD gains slightly but bearish outlook remains
Sterling's Shine Fades: GBPJPY Sell-on-Rally Setup Targets 210.40 Breakdown
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro USD/JPY consolidates above 160.00 level despite fresh currency intervention threats
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD jumps as payrolls surprise fuels upside
NZDJPY Bearish Reversal Intact: Triple EMA Stack Signals Sell-on-Rallies Play Toward 90.50
FxWirePro- Woodies pivot (Major)
AUD/JPY Dead-Cat Bounce Halted by EMA Wall; Sell-on-Rise Eyes 110.50 Target
FxWirePro:GBP/USD recovers some ground but bears are not done yet




