The above table ranks in shrinking implied volatility among euro currency crosses, euro spiking due to the ECB failed in forward guidance after announcing interest rate to be reduced at 0.0% from 0.05% and deposit rate at -0.4%.
Thereby, for at least the next 2 to 3 months, you cannot expect any policy action from the central bank whenever is needed. This would lead us that the market was short euros after the rate decision, its shift to a quasi-neutral monetary policy stance after easing triggered a wave of short covering.
Thus, IVs and risk reversal readings of EURUSD and EURGBP have been drastically reducing for 1W expiries, remain stabilized for 1m-1y tenors, but OTC volumes pumping up (refer diagram for OTC VIX), so these IVs are still the best buys on the respite from sellers.
Hedging upside risk of EURGBP:
The delta risk reversals favour both short term and long term bulls as this pair is flashing up progressively with positive numbers that signify hedging arrangements for upside risks over the period of time.
With the adjustment to the IVs, risk reversals and next significant event that can have the major impact on EURGBP would be UK referendum (that is scheduled 2 months from now), BoE's bank rate is likely to be on hold in next week's monetary policy, IVs of EURGBP for 1W expiry is still over 12% likely to reduce but not below 10% which is conducive for call option holders contemplating risk reversals.
Hence, considering OTC market reasoning we think upside risks are intensifying, as result we continue to stay firm deploying ATM instruments in hedging strategies are worthwhile. So, we decide to initiate a bull option combinations at net credits capitalizing on IVs, RR and ATM calls.
So, buy 6M at the money calls with 50% delta, simultaneously, short 1M (-1%) in of the money put with positive theta.
When IVs flashing higher and going along with OTC sentiments, the likelihood of strategy's positive cash flows is very high.


FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: AUD/USD eases as middle east peace progress ebbs
FxWirePro: AUD/USD firms slightly, but downward resumption looks likely
FxWirePro USD/JPY consolidates above 160.00 level despite fresh currency intervention threats
EUR/USD Relief Rally Crashes Into 200/365 EMA Wall: Sell-on-Rise Near 1.1600 Targets 1.1435
NZDJPY Bulls Capped: Triple Bearish EMA Stack Signals Downtrend Path Toward 90
FxWirePro- Woodies pivot (Major)
vFxWirePro: GBP/USD changes short term trend from neutral to bearish
Sterling Surge: GBPJPY Powers Above 214.50 as Triple Bullish EMA Stack Signals Push to 217
Gold Stalls Below $4150 as Hot CPI Fuels Dollar Strength and Safe-Haven Bid Fades
FxWirePro- Woodies pivot (Major)
Sterling Surge: GBP/JPY Smashes Above 214 With Triple EMA Blessing; Bulls Eye 217
AUD/JPY Dead-Cat Bounce Halted by EMA Wall; Sell-on-Rise Eyes 110.50 Target
USD/CHF Retreats to Key Trend-Line Wall; Buy-Above-0.8000 Strategy Targets Sharp Rally to 0.8150
FxWirePro:USD/JPY holds firm near 160 as intervention fears stay muted
FxWirePro: USD/CAD steadies around 1.3920 level , retains bid tonne




