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FxWirePro: EUR/GBP on track to retake 0.79 handle, buy dips, target 0.7945

EUR/GBP has taken trendline support at 0.7850 and edged higher, but we do not see scope for much upside. The pair is flirting with highs near 0.7900, breaks above to target 0.7946 (Mar 24th highs). Three-month implied vo…

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FxWirePro: EUR/GBP on track to retake 0.79 handle, buy dips, target 0.7945
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  • EUR/GBP has taken trendline support at 0.7850 and edged higher, but we do not see scope for much upside.
     
  • The pair is flirting with highs near 0.7900, breaks above to target 0.7946 (Mar 24th highs).
     
  • Three-month implied volatility gauge rose to almost six-year high last week, indicating investors are bracing up for a sharp swings. 
     
  • Brexit risks will keep GBP weak vs its peers. Also, as the domestic economy has lost some momentum the BoE is likely to remain on hold until Q4.
     
  • Due later the European session, EMU’s advanced inflation figures for March will be in focus, while UK’s Q4 GDP figures are also expected.
     
  • After yesterday’s higher-than-expected German CPI, market consensus now sees core consumer prices in the region rising at an annual pace of 0.9% vs. February’s 0.8% gain.

Recommendation: Good to buy dips around 0.7890, SL: 0.7850, TP: 0.7945/0.7970

Resistance Levels:

R1: 0.79

R2: 0.7910 (Mar 25th highs)

R3: 0.7933 (Mar 23rd highs)

Support Levels:

S1: 0.7875 (5-DMA)

S2: 0.7850 (Rising trendline)

S3: 0.7835 (Mar 30th lows)
 

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