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Ichimoku analysis (4-hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- 1.08837
Kijun-Sen- 1.08637
EURUSD pared some of its gains ahead of US nonfarm payroll. It hit a low of 1.08361 and is currently trading around 1.08458.
The US economy is expected to add 169000 jobs in August compared to a forecast of 187000—the unemployment rate to remain stable at 3.5%.
Major economic data for the day
Sep 1st, 2023, US Nonfarm payroll (12:30 pm GMT)
Unemployment rate
US ISM manufacturing PMI (2:00 pm GMT)
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate hike in Sep increased to 89% from 81% a week ago.
The US 10-year yield consolidates in a narrow range ahead of US jobs data. The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -75% from -86.4%.
The pair trades below short-term 21 EMA, 55 EMA, and long-term (200-EMA) in the 4-hour chart. Any indicative break above 1.0880 confirms intraday bullishness, a jump to 1.0935/1.0960/1.1000 is possible. The near-term support is around 1.0800. The breach below targets 1.07600/1.0700/1.0660.
Indicator (4-hour chart)
CCI – Neutral
Directional movement index – Neutral
It is good to buy on dips around 1.08350-380 with SL around 1.0800 for a TP of 1.1000.
