UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data 
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation 
Energy Sector Outlook 2025: AI's Role and Market Dynamics 
Goldman Predicts 50% Odds of 10% U.S. Tariff on Copper by Q1 Close 
China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data 
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge 
U.S. Stocks vs. Bonds: Are Diverging Valuations Signaling a Shift? 
Bank of America Posts Strong Q4 2024 Results, Shares Rise 
Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025 
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed 
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes 
Urban studies: Doing research when every city is different 
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms 
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis 
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts 
Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data 
2025 Market Outlook: Key January Events to Watch 
US Dollar Index
- Current Status: The US dollar index pared its gains despite strong US inflation data. It hit a low of 104.95 yesterday and is currently trading around 104.97.
- Recent Economic Data:
- US PPI: Rose 0.50% m/m in April, above the estimate of 0.30%.
- Annual Producer Price Index: Increased by 2.2% over the last year, the highest PPI reading since April 2023.
- Core PPI: Excluding food and energy costs, also rose by 0.50% vs. an estimate of 0.20%.
- CME Fed Watch Tool: The probability of a no-rate cut in June increased to 96.7% from 91.3% a week ago.
- Technical Levels:
- Resistance: 105.60 / 106.50
- Support: 104.50 / 103.80
Major Economic Data for the Week
- May 15th, 2024:
- US CPI and Retail Sales (12:30 pm GMT)
- Euro Flash GDP (9 am GMT)
EUR/USD
- Current Status: EUR/USD gained momentum after upbeat German ZEW sentiment. It hit a high of 1.08278 and is currently trading around 1.08234.
- Technical Levels:
- Resistance: 1.08650 / 1.0900
- Support: 1.0760 / 1.0700
USD/JPY
- Current Status: The pair consolidated in a narrow range ahead of the US CPI data. Any break above 157 confirms further bullishness.
- Technical Levels:
- Resistance: 157 / 158
- Support: 155 / 153.40
USD/CAD
- Current Status: The Canadian dollar trades higher despite weak crude oil prices. Any break below 1.3600 confirms further bearishness.
- Technical Levels:
- Resistance: 1.3700 / 1.3765
- Support: 1.3600 / 1.3535
