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FxWirePro: GBP/AUD dips below lower range, bearish bias increases

• GBP/AUD fell on Wednesday  as fiscal concerns and growing expectations of a Bank of England rate cut   weighed heavily on the pound..

• With inflation easing back toward the BoE’s 2% target and signs that domestic price pressures are moderating, markets are beginning to anticipate a potential policy pivot.

• As the UK economy struggles to gain momentum, investors are becoming increasingly uneasy about the government’s financing capacity   a concern that may prompt capital flight and deepen the pound’s weakness.

. Markets currently price in only about a 40% probability of a Bank of England rate cut at the upcoming meeting, though odds rise to around 70% for a move in November or December.

• Immediate resistance is located at 2.0185(Daily high  ), any close above will push the pair towards 2.0312(38.2%fib).

• Immediate support is seen at 2.0041(23.6%fib) and break below could take the pair towards 1.9980(Lower BB).

Recommendation: Good to sell around 2.0100 with stop loss of 2.0180 and target price of 2.0000

  • Market Data
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