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FxWirePro: GBP/AUD upside pauses shy of 20-DMA at 1.6361, break above could see further upside

  • GBP/AUD extends grind higher, but overall caution seen as the next round of Brexit negotiations start.
     
  • Near term bias remains lower, the pair is trading in a downward sloping channel.
     
  • Intraday charts show some strength in the pair which is at the time of writing trading 0.53% higher at 1.6324.
     
  • 20-DMA at 1.6361 is stiff resistance on the upside, break above could see further gains.
     
  • On the flipside, immediate support is seen at 5-DMA, weakness likely on break below.
     
  • On the data front, UK Nationwide House Price Index will be in focus.
     
  • On the downside, the pair is struggling to close below 78.6% Fib retrace of 1.5789 to 1.76509 rally at 1.6187.
     
  • Break below likely to see test of 1.6040 (trendline and then 1.60 (88.6% Fib). Violation at 1.60 finds little support till channel base at 1.5895.

Support levels - 1.63, 1.6231 (5-DMA), 1.62, 1.6187 (78.6% Fib retrace of 1.5789 to 1.76509 rally)

Resistance levels - 1.6361 (20-DMA), 1.64, 1.6485 (Feb 9th high), 1.6513 (23.6% Fib retrace of 1.76509 to 1.61625 fall)

Recommendation: Watch out for break above 20-DMA to go long, target 1.64/ 1.6485/ 1.65

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