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FxWirePro- Gold Daily Outlook

Ichimoku Analysis (4-Hour chart)

 

Tenken-Sen- $1727.06

 

Kijun-Sen- $1710.15

 

Gold price traded in a narrow range between $1739.25 and $1715 for the past three days. Markets eye the US fed monetary for further direction. The decline US 10-year yield by more than 6.5% the previous week supported the yellow metal at lower levels. US dollar index pared most of its gains after hitting a multi-year high of 109.29.   According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 75 bpbs rate hike in Jul dropped to 75.1% from 80.5% a day ago.

 

Factors to watch for gold price action-

 

Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)

 

US dollar index – Bearish (Positive for gold)

 

US10-year bond yield- Bearish (Positive for gold)

 

Technical:

The near–term support is around $1680, a breach below targets $1650/$1600.Significant reversal only below $1600. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $1740, breach above will take it to the next level of $$1760/$1770/$1800.

 

It is good to sell on rallies around $1728-30 with SL around $1750 for TP of $1650/$160

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