Ichimoku Analysis (4 hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- $1997.29
Kijun-Sen- $1986.59
Gold trading higher on board-based selling. It hit a high of $2006.38 yesterday and is currently trading around $1994.69.
US durable goods orders declined by 5.4% in Oct compared to a forecast of -3.2%. University of Michigan consumer sentiment came at 61.3 in Nov down from 63.8.
US dollar index- Bearish. Minor support around 103/102. The near-term resistance is 104/105.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate hike in Dec decreased to 95.2% from 100% a week ago.
The US 10-year yield showed a minor sell-off due to weak US economic data. The US 10 and 2-year spread widened to -48.9% from -16%.
Factors to watch for gold price action-
Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)
US dollar index - Weak (positive for gold)
US10-year bond yield- Bearish (Positive for gold)
Technical:
The near–term support is around $1980, a break below targets of $1965/$1950/$1929/$1900/$1850. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2009 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2025.
It is good to buy on dips around $1980-81 with SL around $1968 for TP of $2007.
