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FxWirePro: NZD/USD closes bearish gap but struggles at 20-DMA, intraday bias higher

NZD/USD holds major trendline support at 0.7250, intraday bias higher. Commodity outperformance could extend into this week, keeping the NZD supported. Also markets have priced in OCR on hold at 2.0% at Thursday’s RBNZ m…

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FxWirePro: NZD/USD closes bearish gap but struggles at 20-DMA, intraday bias higher
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  • NZD/USD holds major trendline support at 0.7250, intraday bias higher.
     
  • Commodity outperformance could extend into this week, keeping the NZD supported.
     
  • Also markets have priced in OCR on hold at 2.0% at Thursday’s RBNZ meet, with a signal of a rate cut in November. 
     
  • Any watering down of this explicit easing signal could likely cause a sharp rise in the NZD.
     
  • 21 Sep FOMC announcement is another key risk event. Rates mostly on hold, but the statement should have a slight hawkish twist.
     
  • Techs as of now do not have a clear directional bias, but some upside seen on intraday charts.
     
  • The major finds stiff resistance at 0.7315 (trendline) on hourly charts, break above could target 0.7330 and then 0.7365 levels.
    ​

Recommendation: Good to go long on break above 0.7315, SL: 0.7250, TP: 0.7365/ 0.7380/ 0.74
 

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