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FxWirePro: NZD/USD fails at 0.73 handle, good to go short on close below 5-DMA

NZD/USD extends decline for 2nd consecutive day after upside was rejected at 0.73 handle. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Change in governance keeping the kiwi subdued. The RBNZ is projected to stand pat on intere…

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FxWirePro: NZD/USD fails at 0.73 handle, good to go short on close below 5-DMA
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  • NZD/USD extends decline for 2nd consecutive day after upside was rejected at 0.73 handle.
     
  • The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Change in governance keeping the kiwi subdued.
     
  • The RBNZ is projected to stand pat on interest rates well into 2019 as the central bank watches for signs of improving activity.
     
  • With no major economic releases from New Zealand, the major remains to be driven by market sentiment.
     
  • Focus now on US GDP and the PCE releases, which may influence the Federal Reserve in the rate hike projection.
     
  • US GDP figures are forecast to come in at 2.7% versus the previous 2.6%. Any upside surprise could boost US dollar driving the pair lower.
     
  • We see immediate support at 5-DMA at 0.7253, decisive close below will see some downside.
     
  • Scope for test of 200-DMA at 0.7184. Only violation at 200-DMA will see major downside.

Support levels - 0.7253 (5-DMA), 0.7237 (1H 200-SMA), 0.7213 (200W-SMA), 0.7184 (200-DMA)

Resistance levels - 0.7281 (23.6% Fib), 0.73, 0.7354 (Mar 14 high)

Recommendation: Watch out for close below 5-DMA to go short, SL: 0.73, TP: 0.7215/ 0.7185/ 0.7140

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly NZD Spot Index was at 62.9805 (Neutral), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at 70.2093 (Neutral) at 1040 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

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