Singapore dollar after continues losing streak from last 3 months, it seems like making an attempt of recovery as a shooting star is spotted out at peaks, since daily stochastic is showing buying interest it is advisable to capitalize on these rallies for better entry points to stay short.
Leading indicators on monthly charts suggest prevailing price recoveries of SGD to sustain further and likely to evidence further dips in near future. RSI on weekly is beautifully converging to the price bounces right from below 30 levels.
Both RSI and stochastic oscillators are signaling indecision in overbought zones.
While an attempt of %D crossover of slow stochastic curve above 80 levels which is bought territory also suggest selling pressure are strengthened. To substantiate this bearish view we've seen recent price declines on daily charts that has slid below 21DMA.
Although you may likely to see some price spikes in a day or two, we would anticipate more dips in the weeks to come. As a result, we come up with suitable currency strategic framework so as to match this trend swinging for slight downside risks. With current USDSGD spot FX is ticking at 1.4270, place call ratio spread with 1:2 ratios.
How to execute: Buy ATM 0.5 delta call with longer expiry (let's say 1m tenor). Sell two lots of call options, one 4D OTM strike calls (0.5% strikes) with positive theta and delta closer to zero, after squaring off this positon go long in 4D ITM call (0.5% strikes) with positive theta and delta closer to zero.
Thereby, the strategy matches the puzzling abrupt rallies and certain short term declines so as to suit the corrective slumps and to take the advantage of overpriced calls by shorting.
While, the delta value becomes more and more insensitive as the USDSGD falls lower and lower and hence on the lower side, the delta value is zero.
Why call ratio spread: As the pair has made steep slumps and healthy recovery we see a neutral to bearish environment when you are projecting decreasing volatility (see from next 1 month to 3 month it's been gradually reducing).
Risk/Reward Profile: The risk is unlimited. The reward is the difference in the strike prices plus the net credit, multiplied by the number of long contracts.


FxWirePro: EUR/AUD gains some ground but outlook is bearish
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD edges lower ,scope for further downside
AUDJPY: Bearish Below 110 — Sell Rallies for a Potential Move to 108
Currency Score Update: EURUSD & GBPUSD Bearish, USDCAD Strongest
FxWirePro: NZD/USD bearish bias intact, eyes 0.5500 level
FxWirePro- Woodies Pivot
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
Major Pair Currency Score & Key Levels to Watch: GBPUSD Extremely Bearish; EURUSD, NZDUSD and AUDUSD Bearish; USDCAD and USDCHF Bullish
JPY Major Currency Score: Mixed Trend — USDJPY Bullish; NZDJPY, AUDJPY, GBPJPY and EURJPY Bearish
FxWirePro: NZD/USD rebounds modestly but outlook is still bearish
FxWirePro: USD/ZAR holds above 16.600, maintains bullish bias
The Great Liquidation: A BTC and ETH Futures & Options Data Dashboard Review of Oct 7
FxWirePro: USD/JPY uptrend loses steam, remains on bullish path
FxWirePro: AUD/USD grinds higher, but topside extension unlikely
FxWirePro: GBP/NZD positions for another climb, eyes 2.3700 level
AUD/JPY Stays Above 110 as Weak Yen Fuels a Potential Move Toward 112




