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• USD/ZAR fell sharply on Tuesday as global risk aversion eased, amid expectations of a quick end to the conflict in Iran following comments from President Donald Trump.
• Oil prices fell after touching a three-year high on Monday following Trump's remarks, reducing pressure on import-dependent economies.
• Statistics South Africa published economic growth figures which showed the economy grew 0.4% in the fourth-quarter of 2025, marginally better than expected in quarter-on-quarter terms, but at 0.8% on a year-on-year basis.
• Rising oil prices could reignite inflationary pressures and prompt the South African Reserve Bank to adopt a more conservative stance.
• Immediate resistance is located at 16.351(50%fib), any close above will push the pair towards 16.541(Higher BB).
• Strong support is seen at 16.100(SMA 20) and break below could take the pair towards 16.052(38.2%fib)
Recommendation: Good to sell around 16.200 with stop loss of 16.400 and target price of 16.000
