The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported Hurricane Vance's sustained winds at 80 knots late Saturday and forecast a decline to 35 knots by Thursday evening after winds hold near 70 knots through Monday.
In its 11 p.m. ET Saturday advisory (03:00 UTC Sunday), the NHC placed Vance near 13.7N, 103.4W. The hurricane was moving north-northwest at four knots, with gusts reaching 100 knots and estimated central pressure of 977 millibars.
The forecast keeps sustained winds at 70 knots from 8 a.m. ET Sunday (12:00 UTC) through 8 p.m. ET Monday (00:00 UTC Tuesday). It then puts winds at 65 knots by 8 a.m. ET Tuesday (12:00 UTC), 55 knots by 8 p.m. Tuesday (00:00 UTC Wednesday), 45 knots by 8 p.m. Wednesday (00:00 UTC Thursday) and 35 knots by 8 p.m. Thursday (00:00 UTC Friday).
An earlier NHC outlook called for 90 knots by Monday evening, as covered in EconoTimes' previous Vance wind outlook. The current advisory lists average intensity forecast errors of about 15 knots on each of forecast days four and five.
The NHC requested ship reports every three hours from within 300 miles of Vance's center. Its next advisory was scheduled for 5 a.m. ET Sunday (09:00 UTC).
