Fox Business commentator Larry Kudlow urged Republicans to vote in the Nov. 3 congressional elections, warning that weak turnout could cost the party control of one or both chambers.
In an Oct. 20 Fox Business opinion column, Kudlow said unnamed pollsters had told him that voters he called “traditional Republicans” might stay home. He named no pollster and disclosed no supporting figures.
A Fox News poll of 1,202 registered voters, conducted Oct. 9-12, found 58% of respondents in its “MAGA GOP” group were extremely interested in the election, compared with 42% in its “Non-MAGA GOP” group. The shares who said they were certain to vote were 72% and 52%, respectively. The poll reported subgroup margins of sampling error of 5.5 and 7 percentage points; its labels do not define the group Kudlow described.
Across the full Fox News sample, 54% backed or reported voting for a Democratic House candidate, compared with 45% for a Republican. The poll asked most respondents how they would vote and those who had already voted how they did vote.
Pew Research Center surveyed 3,917 registered voters from Sept. 28 to Oct. 4. Among supporters of Democratic and Republican House candidates, respectively, 63% and 46% said they were extremely motivated to vote. Pew also found a 44%-to-36% Democratic lead in national House vote preference among registered voters.
A Reuters/Ipsos survey of 1,679 U.S. adults, conducted Oct. 16-19, found 54% of respondents classified as Democrats and 46% of those classified as Republicans were enthusiastic about voting. On a separate question, 53% of Republicans and 46% of Democrats said they were almost certain to vote. The same survey recorded 7% of Republicans and 13% of Democrats as having already voted.
These surveys measure different forms of stated interest and voting status; they do not establish final turnout or which party will control Congress.
The Federal Election Commission (FEC) lists Nov. 3 as the congressional general election date.
