UK's fiscal year ending in March showed the deficit undershooting the revised OBR forecast of £90.2bn made in the March Budget by £2.9bn. In the last few months, the underlying deficit has fallen by roughly £0.5bn compared to a year earlier. Improvement in fiscal deficit is expected to have continued in April so Societe Generale predicts a PSNBex deficit of £8.7bn compared to £9.3bn a year earlier.
There will be little genuine information about the trend in this release. The first month of a new fiscal year is usually volatile as new spending plans come into operation. Moreover, with a new government coming into power after the 7 May general election, there could and probably will be some changes to the fiscal plans later in the year.
Commentary
Little information in first deficit of the UK's new fiscal year
UK's fiscal year ending in March showed the deficit undershooting the revised OBR forecast of £90.2bn made in the March Budget by £2.9bn. In the last few months, the underlying deficit has fallen by roughly £0.5bn compar…
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