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Nikkei: Daily outlook

  • Nikkei is trading in narrow range after forming a temporary top around 20319 . The index is expected to trade weak on account of strong yen. The index has made a high of 20319 on Jun 20th 2017 and any further bullish continuation only above that level. It is currently trading around 19982 0.4% lower.
     
  • USD/JPY has slightly recovered after hitting low of 109.84 on Aug 4th 2017. The pair should close above 100- MA at 111.38 in the daily chart for minor bullishness. It is currently trading around 110.71. The major term resistance is around 114.50 and any break above targets 115.50. The minor resistance is around 112/113.
     
  • On the lower side, index major support is around 19925 (55- day EMA) and any close below will drag the index down till 19759 (89 EMA)/19620 (100- day MA)/19277 (May 18th 2017 low). 
     
  • The near term resistance of Nikkei is around 20400 (trend line joining 20230 and 20319) and break above will take the index to 20477 (161.8% retracement of 20019 and 19277) /20530 (161.8% retracement of 20220 and 19744)/20649 (161.8% retracement of 19698 and 18193).
     
  • Short term bullish invalidation only below 19275.

It is good to sell on rallies around 20100-150 with SL around 20320 for the TP of 19690/19280.

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