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Risks of further easing from Riksbank in the short-term remain high: Barclays

The Riksbank decided to ease policy further intra-meeting, by cutting its repo rate to -0.25% and announcing an increase in its sovereign bond purchase programme (SEK30bn with maturities up to 25 years).

Barclays quotes in a report as follows ...

  • In line with our expectations, the emphasis of the Riksbank has shifted radically towards the strength of its currency and the implied downside risks to inflation. As a result, risks of further easing in the short-term remain high, in our view. 

  • We recommend staying long USD/SEK targeting 9.0150, given the risks for further easing in the short term and our expectations for Fed policy normalisation.

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