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Thailand's Interest Rate Cut: Key Takeaways
Thailand's monetary policy committee has decided to lower the policy interest rate to 2.25%, marking the first cut since 2020. This decision, made during the Bank of Thailand's (BOT) monetary policy meeting on October 16, reflects a response to ongoing economic challenges and tightened financial conditions.
Rate Cut Details
The committee voted 5-2 in favor of the 25 basis point reduction. The cut aims to alleviate the risk that stringent financial conditions could hinder economic growth by facilitating household debt deleveraging. At the end of Q2 2023, Thailand's household debt-to-GDP ratio stood at 89.6%, equating to approximately 16.3 trillion baht ($483 billion), one of the highest levels in Asia.
Economic Outlook
The BOT maintains that the current policy rate is sufficient to manage risks associated with economic growth, inflation, and financial stability. It emphasized the need for a neutral rate that balances economic potential without encouraging long-term financial imbalances.
The next policy review is scheduled for December 18, with projections indicating that the economy will be supported by domestic demand and tourism. Following the meeting, the BOT adjusted its GDP growth forecast for 2024 to 2.7%, up from 2.6%, while slightly lowering the 2025 outlook from 3.0% to 2.9%.
