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U.S. Midterms Put Congress at Stake as 65% Tie High Prices to Trump Policies

CBS News’ House model puts Democrats on pace for 229 seats, while the outlet describes Senate races as competitive.

Updated 2 min read
A voter feeds a paper ballot into a scanner at an Atlanta polling station. / TokenPost.ai (mono)
A voter feeds a paper ballot into a scanner at an Atlanta polling station. / TokenPost.ai (mono)

U.S. voters will choose all 435 House members, 35 senators and 36 governors Tuesday, Nov. 3, as an AP-NORC poll found 65% said higher-than-usual prices resulted from President Donald Trump’s policies.

The U.S. Postal Service’s election calendar lists all 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats and 36 governorships on the ballot. House seats are filled on two-year cycles; six-year Senate terms are staggered, putting about one-third of the chamber before voters every two years. The vote will settle control of both chambers for the next two-year congressional term.

CBS News’ Nov. 1 preview said its model put Democrats on pace for 229 House seats. That is an estimate, not an election result. In an Oct. 28 update, CBS gave the Democratic estimate a range of 215 to 237 seats and said Republicans still had a path to keep the chamber. CBS described Senate races as competitive.

The AP-NORC survey questioned 2,140 U.S. adults from Sept. 24-28. Along with the 65% who said higher-than-usual prices resulted from Trump’s policies, 67% of Republicans said the higher prices came from factors beyond the president’s control. The poll’s margin of sampling error was 2.9 percentage points. The findings record respondents’ views; they do not establish what caused prices to rise or how respondents will vote.

House control also shapes the chamber’s internal balance and oversight. Party leaders set committee sizes and each party’s share of seats. Committees review proposed legislation and examine federal agencies. The House Rules Committee sets the conditions for floor consideration, including which bills are brought forward and how debate proceeds.

Midterm outcomes have varied. The Associated Press reported that Democrats gained 40 House seats in 2018, Republicans gained 63 in 2010, and Republicans gained fewer than 10 in 2022. CBS News pollster Anthony Salvanto said, “It’s not historically unusual for a president’s party to lose seats in a midterm.” The next scheduled decision is Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 3.

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