Trump’s Inflation Claims Clash With Voters’ Cost-of-Living Reality 
South Africa Eyes ECB Repo Lines as Inflation Eases and Rate Cuts Loom 
Dow Hits 50,000 as U.S. Stocks Stage Strong Rebound Amid AI Volatility 
South Korea’s Weak Won Struggles as Retail Investors Pour Money Into U.S. Stocks 
Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady 
Trump Endorses Japan’s Sanae Takaichi Ahead of Crucial Election Amid Market and China Tensions 
Gold and Silver Prices Rebound After Volatile Week Triggered by Fed Nomination 
Bank of Japan Signals Readiness for Near-Term Rate Hike as Inflation Nears Target 
U.S. Stock Futures Slide as Tech Rout Deepens on Amazon Capex Shock 
Trump Signs Executive Order Threatening 25% Tariffs on Countries Trading With Iran 
Dollar Steadies Ahead of ECB and BoE Decisions as Markets Turn Risk-Off 
India–U.S. Interim Trade Pact Cuts Auto Tariffs but Leaves Tesla Out 
Asian Stocks Slip as Tech Rout Deepens, Japan Steadies Ahead of Election 
South Korea Assures U.S. on Trade Deal Commitments Amid Tariff Concerns 
Gold Prices Slide Below $5,000 as Strong Dollar and Central Bank Outlook Weigh on Metals 
Global Markets Slide as AI, Crypto, and Precious Metals Face Heightened Volatility 
US dollar index is trading in a narrow range between 106.33 and 106.96 in past one week due to mixed US economic data.
As of November 14, 2024, the Producer Price Index (PPI) showed no change from the previous month, while the core PPI rose by 0.2%. Jobless claims slightly improved, with initial claims falling to 221,000 but continuing claims rising to 1.892 million. Retail sales increased by 0.4% in October, exceeding expectations, while industrial production fell by 0.3%. Consumer sentiment declined to 70.5, suggesting people are becoming more cautious. Inflation expectations hit a four-year low, indicating easing price pressures. Overall, the economy shows mixed signals, with strength in retail but weakness in production and claims. These trends will be important for policymakers moving forward.
Recent reports on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) have changed expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. The chance of a rate cut in December has increased to about 80%, up from around 60% beforehand. Traders widely believe the Fed will lower interest rates by 25 basis points. This development shows growing confidence that the Fed will respond to the economic data. Overall, the situation suggests a likely move towards easing monetary policy.
Next week, several countries are set to announce their estimates for October consumer inflation
Canadian CPI Data
Release Date: Tuesday, November 19, 2024.
UK CPI Data
Release Date: Wednesday, November 20, 2024.
