US consumer prices likely decelerated further in July

US consumer price index data for July is scheduled to release on 19th August. Capped by projected slowdowns in retail energy costs, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) probably climbed by 0.2% in July - the smallest increase since April. Reflecting markedly smaller hikes in seasonally adjusted gasoline pump prices, the CPI energy gauge is expected to rise by 0.7% in July, after a 1.7% jump in June and a 4.3% leap in May. 

The core subindex excluding volatile food and energy components likely advanced by 0.2% during the reference period (0.167%), following a similar uptick in June, as softer apparel and used vehicle prices moderated an anticipated snapback in medical care costs. 

Societe Generale estimates, "The overall and core CPIs are expected at 0.2% and 1.8% above their respective yearago levels. Looking ahead, declines in gasoline prices since July could knock 0.3 percentage point off the headline CPI in August."