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U.S. data dependency in full swing

With the Fed now fully in data dependent mode, market participants will have plenty to chew on during the upcoming week. The labour market likely continued its improvement with 272k jobs added in March, although the unem…

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With the Fed now fully in data dependent mode, market participants will have plenty to chew on during the upcoming week.

  • The labour market likely continued its improvement with 272k jobs added in March, although the unemployment rate was probably unchanged at 5.5% and wages likely expanded by only 0.2%. 
  • Other data should be mixed, with mfg ISM improving modestly, trade deficit contracting, and construction activity shrinking once again. 
  • While somewhat better on the whole, this week's data is unlikely to materially alter the market's perception about the probability of a June rate hike.

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