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US rates outlook

US rates have moved higher despite weaker-than-expected data at the beginning of the year, as the market increasingly believes the Fed will start hiking in Q3/Q4 15. Danske Bank notes in a report on Monday: Although US r…

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US rates have moved higher despite weaker-than-expected data at the beginning of the year, as the market increasingly believes the Fed will start hiking in Q3/Q4 15. 

Danske Bank notes in a report on Monday:

  • Although US rates have moved higher over the past month, the market is not prepared for the Fed starting to hike rates in the middle of this year. 

  • Therefore, we still project a significant rise in US swap rates, mainly in the 2Y-5Y segment as we get close to lift-off in the Fed funds rate. 

  • We expect the long end of the US curve to be more capped due to aggressive monetary easing in Europe and Japan. 

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