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'Unusually' Large Bitcoin ETF Inflows Signal Potential Decline, Sparking Warnings from Analysts

Analysts caution that unusually large Bitcoin ETF inflows may signal a forthcoming price decline. Credit: EconoTimes

An "unusually" large spike in Bitcoin ETF inflows has ignited fears of a potential price decline, as analysts point to historical patterns where similar inflows led to bearish trends. With inflows hitting billions, the market braces for a possible downturn.

Concerns Rise Amid Unusually Large Bitcoin ETF Inflows

Recent large inflows into Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US have analysts worried that this could cause Bitcoin's price to fall again, just like in the past.

"Historically, this kind of activity has been followed by bearish price movements, and we may be seeing the beginning of a price dip as a result," stated Shubh Varma, CEO and co-founder of Hyblock Capital, in an analyst note viewed by Cointelegraph on October 23.

There have been "unusually large BTC ETF inflows over the past several days, with inflows exceeding $300 million on multiple occasions," as Varma pointed out.

Bitcoin ETFs Experience Massive Inflows and Outflows

Spot Bitcoin ETFs witnessed a seven-day inflow of about $2.68 billion from October 11–21, before recording an outflow of $79.1 million on October 22, according to statistics from Farside.

On October 23, the recording of inflows was restarted, and a total of $192.4 million was received that day.

Historical Trends Suggest Bitcoin Price May Decline

Nearly thirteen weeks after the previous occurrence of "unusually" huge inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, the price of Bitcoin fell by thirteen percent.

A total of $886.6 million and $488.1 million in inflows were recorded by spot Bitcoin ETFs on June 4 and 5, respectively, as the price of Bitcoin fluctuated between $68,800 and $70,000.

Twenty days later, on June 25th, the price of Bitcoin dropped to $60,266.

What to Watch for Next: Large Outflows

Analysts will "want" to see "large outflows" in the spot Bitcoin ETFs, according to Varma, if history repeats itself and Bitcoin declines:

"This could establish a higher low, setting Bitcoin up for a potential run to new all-time highs."

Supply Shock Theory Gains Momentum

On the other hand, other experts think that such massive inflows can indicate an impending supply shock.

Pentosh1, C.I.O. of North Node Capital and an advocate for Bitcoin said in a post on October 23:

A "supply shock looms large," according to market expert Anup Dhungana.

Bitcoin Price Predictions for the Coming Weeks

Deribit, a cryptocurrency exchange, reports that Bitcoin options traders are predicting that the cryptocurrency's price will hit $80,000 by the end of November, which is only three weeks after the US presidential election.

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