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Bitcoin is presently trading at about $91,200 on January 9, 2026, a substantial drop from its 2025 high of over $126,000, therefore emphasizing the wide gulf between short-term market facts and VanEck's exceptionally bullish long-term prediction of up to $53 million per BTC by 2050. This extreme bull-case scenario sees Bitcoin reaching gold-like status as a reserve asset and taking 20% of worldwide trade settlements in the middle of growing sovereign debt crises and monetary instability.
Through Bitcoin handling 5–10% of global trade, entering central bank reserves at 2.5% allocation, and profiting from ETF maturation, halvings, nation-state adoption, corporate treasuries, and supportive policies under pro-crypto governments like President Trump's, VanEck's base case predicts $2.9 million by 2050.
Near-term stagnation remains around the $90K mark because of weak U.S. employment statistics (+50K NFP), Supreme Court tariff decision uncertainty, profit-taking, token unlocks in projects like Aptos, and legal delays in stablecoins. Strong outflow, however, suggest that long-term holders are increasingly HODLing, whereas macro prudence restricts current upside potential toward $96K-$100K targets.
