Central Banking Series

This latest increase in RBA interest rates might well be the last, for some time

Dec 08, 2022 10:59 am UTC| Central Banks Economy

You might not know it from reading Tuesdays statement announcing Australias eighth consecutive increase in interest rates, but our Reserve Bank might finally have done enough. The statement says inflation is still too...

Central Banking Series

Why does the RBA keep hiking interest rates? It's scared it can't contain inflation

Aug 03, 2022 00:55 am UTC| Economy Central Banks

There are signs inflation pressures are easing. Oil prices are down almost 20% on their peak in March. Theyve been falling consistently for a month. The average capital city unleaded price is down from A$2.11 per litre...

Central Banking Series

Top economists expect RBA to hold interest rates low in 2022, as real wages fall

Feb 02, 2022 09:26 am UTC| Economy Central Banks

Australias leading forecasters expect the Reserve Bank to resist pressure to lift interest rates all year, despite rising interest rates overseas, much higher inflation, plunging unemployment, and financial market traders...

Unemployment below 3% is possible for the first time in 50 years – if Australia budgets for it

Feb 02, 2022 08:57 am UTC| Economy

Whats the boldest thing the Morrison government could do in next months budget? It would be to forecast an unemployment rate below 4% (a rate of three-point-something), then to pledge to go further, to...

Economy will be weak and in need of support after pandemic, top economists say

Jul 01, 2021 03:59 am UTC| Economy

Australias economy will limp along after recovering from the pandemic, failing to regain the growth it had either in the years leading up to the crisis or the much higher growth in the decades before. Thats the...

Exclusive. Top economists back budget push for an unemployment rate beginning with '4'

May 09, 2021 10:03 am UTC| Economy

Australias top economists have overwhelmingly backed a decision by Treasurer Josh Frydenberg to reset the budget strategy so that it prioritises achieving an unemployment rate of between 4% and 5% over reducing...

The budget is a window into the treasurer's soul. Here's what to look for Tuesday night

May 09, 2021 09:13 am UTC| Politics

What in America they call the State of the Union, in Australia we call the federal budget. As surprising as it may seem, Australian budgets arent really about money theyre about values. As a case in point, a key...