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Emerging Market Crisis Series

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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

BCB likely to increase selic rate in March meeting

Feb 02, 2016 10:29 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Brazils economic condition is likely to remain weak in near term as long as political crisis weigh on investment decisions and stimulate negative tone in the financial markets. Industrial production decreased nearly 8...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

South Korea’s exports ease in January, likely to remain weak in 2016

Feb 01, 2016 08:37 am UTC| Commentary

South Koreas exports in January declined 18.6% y/y, much lower than Barclays forecast of a decline of 12% and consensus expectation of a decline of 10.3%. This is the weakest exports data since August 2009. On a monthly...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Indian manufacturers continue facing structural challenges despite rise in January manufacturing PMI

Feb 01, 2016 06:46 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Indias January 2016 headline manufacturing PMI rose to 51.1 from December 2015s 49.1. However, the headline PMI reading continues to be weak according to past standards. Indias local industry continues to face considerable...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Fitch criticises CBT’s delay in simplifying 3-rate corridor to one policy rate

Jan 26, 2016 09:00 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Turkey has been cautioned by Fitch that the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkeys delay in simplifying the 3-rate corridor to only one policy rate gives a negative picture. According to the rating agency, the development...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Brazil’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate likely inched up to 8.3% in December

Jan 25, 2016 07:20 am UTC| Commentary

Brazils unemployment rate had increased unexpectedly in October to 7.9% and declined to 7.5% in November. The lack of considerable increase in unemployment during H2 2015 should not be understood at labor market...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

SARB likely to hike rate lower than market forecast

Jan 22, 2016 04:47 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The ZAR is expected to be weak in the near future, although lesser than what was witnessed in 2015. If South Africas local government elections are not disrupted and if the February budget is well received, the country...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Currency War Series

Brazil decision to keep rates on hold raises questions of independence

Jan 21, 2016 18:01 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) surprisingly left rates unchanged at 14.25% at yesterdays monetary policy meeting. The expectation had been for a rate hike of 50bp. The decision raises questions regarding the central banks...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

AI Protocol Render (RNDR) Soars 15% As Bitcoin Fights For Balance

As Bitcoin grapples with market volatility, altcoin Render (RNDR) stands out with a remarkable 15% surge, showcasing its resilience amid the crypto markets tumult. This surge comes as Bitcoin struggles to find stability,...

Huawei's Covert US Funding Scheme Raises Eyebrows Amid Export Ban

The revelation of Huaweis discreet sponsorship of U.S. research through a Washington-based foundation has reignited concerns about the efficacy of the export ban. Despite regulatory hurdles, the tech giant managed to fund...

Crypto.com's F1 Sponsorship Expansion Sparks Global Visibility Drive

Crypto.com, one of the top exchanges in the digital currency ecosystem, is set to expand its sporting ad budget. Notably, the trading platform is looking to expand its dominance in its push for global...

Stablecoins Set to Overtake Visa, Ripple CEO Affirms XRP and ETH Not Securities

Stablecoins are poised to challenge Visas dominance in payment volume, marking a significant shift in the crypto landscape. Meanwhile, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse asserts that XRP and Ethereum (ETH) are not securities,...

Justin Sun Dominates Swell L2 with 46% of Deposits in eETH

Justin Sun, founder of Tron, has again surged into the limelight, this time for his colossal cryptocurrency deposits. The crypto tycoon, utilizing the pseudonymous address 0x7a9…3095, recently funneled a staggering...