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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

US Dollar Holds Near One-Week High as Middle East Tensions and Oil Prices Drive Market Sentiment

The U.S. dollar remained close to a one-week high on Tuesday as investors balanced escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East against growing hopes for a potential ceasefire. Currency markets stayed cautious as...

Gold Climbs Above $4,000 as Middle East Tensions and Fed Outlook Drive Safe-Haven Demand

Gold prices moved higher on Monday, climbing back above the key $4,000-per-ounce level as investors balanced rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East with expectations for the U.S. Federal Reserves next policy...

Asian Stocks Rise as Oil Retreats on Iran Ceasefire Hopes Ahead of Key AI Earnings

Asian stock markets advanced on Tuesday as easing oil prices and renewed hopes for a ceasefire between Iran and the United States improved investor sentiment, although caution remained ahead of major technology earnings...

Oil Prices Hold Steady as U.S.-Iran Conflict and Houthi Blockade Keep Markets on Edge

Oil prices were little changed in Asian trading on Tuesday after posting gains of more than 1% in the previous session, as investors weighed escalating tensions between the United States and Iran alongside fresh threats to...

US Stock Futures Hold Steady as Tesla, Alphabet Earnings and Iran Conflict Dominate Market Focus

U.S. stock index futures traded little changed late Monday as investors prepared for a busy week of major corporate earnings while closely monitoring escalating tensions between the United States and Iran. The geopolitical...

Politics

Civil Rights Groups Sue Trump Administration Over Childcare Funding Freeze and Influencer's Role

Civil rights organizations have filed a lawsuit against President Donald Trumps administration, challenging its attempt to restrict billions of dollars in federal childcare and family assistance funding while seeking...

ASEAN Summit Faces Pressure as U.S.-Iran Conflict, South China Sea Tensions Dominate Agenda

Foreign ministers from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and key global partners are meeting in Manila this week as rising geopolitical tensions threaten to overshadow the regional diplomatic agenda. The...

China Conducts Live-Fire Naval Drill Near Japan’s Okinotori Island Amid Joint Operation With Russia

China conducted a live-fire naval exercise near Japans remote Okinotori Island over the weekend while operating alongside Russian warships, marking another sign of expanding military cooperation between Beijing and Moscow...

Trump Administration Weighs Ending Support for UN Refugee Agency UNHCR

The Trump administration has recently considered ending U.S. engagement with the United Nations refugee agency (UNHCR), according to multiple Reuters sources, raising concerns about the future of one of the worlds largest...

Trump Says Talks With UK PM Andy Burnham Went Well, Signals Meeting Soon

U.S. President Donald Trump said he held a very good conversation with newly appointed British Prime Minister Andy Burnham on Monday, describing the call as productive and confirming that the two leaders plan to meet in...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Nvidia Reveals 9.3% Stake in AI Cloud Firm Nebius Following $2 Billion Investment

Nvidia has disclosed that it holds a 9.3% stake in AI cloud infrastructure company Nebius, further strengthening its presence in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence ecosystem. The disclosure follows Nvidias...

SpaceX Q2 Earnings on Aug. 4 Set Stage for Historic Insider Share Unlock

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) will report its second-quarter 2026 financial results after the market closes on August 4, marking its first earnings release since its record-breaking initial public offering. The company will also...

Samsung Cuts U.S. Consumer Electronics Jobs as Headquarters Moves to Texas

Samsung Electronics has reduced its workforce in the United States as it relocates the headquarters of its consumer electronics business from New Jersey to Texas, affecting hundreds of employees while maintaining that the...

ASML Trillion-Dollar Valuation: Can Europe’s AI Chip Giant Reach the Historic Milestone?

The global artificial intelligence boom has fueled a remarkable rise in ASMLs market value, positioning the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker as Europes most valuable listed technology company. Following...

Bank of America Says These Overlooked AI Stocks Could Be the Next Winners

While semiconductor companies, AI hardware makers, and the Magnificent Seven have dominated the artificial intelligence rally, Bank of America believes the next phase of AI-driven gains could come from less obvious...