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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

U.S. Stock Futures Slip as Investors Await Key Jobs Data; Premarket Movers in Focus

U.S. stock futures edged lower on Thursday as investors remained cautious ahead of the release of crucial U.S. unemployment data. Market participants are closely watching the labor market figures for signals on the Federal...

Trump's Hammer on Russian Oil Buyers: 500% Tariffs Loom

President Donald Trump has declared his support for the bipartisan Sanctioning Russia Act of 2025, a bill that Senators Lindsey Graham (R, SC) and Richard Blumenthal (D, CT) have put forward. Secondary sanctions...

Japanese Chemical Stocks Slide as China Launches Anti-Dumping Probe into Chipmaking Material

Shares of major Japanese chemical manufacturers declined sharply on Thursday after China announced the launch of an anti-dumping investigation into imports of dichlorosilane, a critical material used in semiconductor and...

Trump Proposes $1.5 Trillion U.S. Military Budget for 2027, Fueling Defense Stock Rally and Fiscal Concerns

President Donald Trump said Wednesday that he wants the 2027 U.S. military budget to reach $1.5 trillion, a dramatic increase from the $901 billion defense budget approved by Congress for 2026. The proposal immediately...

Asian Currencies Trade Mixed as Dollar Firms Ahead of Key U.S. Jobs Data

Asian currencies traded in a narrow, mostly weaker range on Thursday as the U.S. dollar found modest support ahead of a closely watched U.S. labor market report due later this week. Investors across the foreign exchange...

Politics

Senate Vote Looms on Blocking Trump’s Military Action in Venezuela

The U.S. Senate is preparing for a closely watched vote on a war powers resolution that would prevent President Donald Trump from taking further military action against Venezuela without explicit congressional...

Greenland Weighs Direct U.S. Talks as Trump Renews Push for Control

Greenlands political debate over independence and its relationship with the United States has intensified after a senior opposition leader called for direct talks with Washington, bypassing Denmark, amid renewed pressure...

Steny Hoyer Announces Retirement, Ending Historic Career in U.S. House

Democratic Congressman Steny Hoyer has announced that he will not seek reelection, bringing an end to a distinguished career in the U.S. House of Representatives that has spanned more than four decades. The Washington Post...

Trump to Attend World Economic Forum in Davos with Senior U.S. Officials

U.S. President Donald Trump is set to attend the 2026 World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, marking his first in-person appearance at the annual global gathering since returning to the White House for a second...

Chevron Seeks Expanded U.S. License to Boost Venezuelan Oil Exports Amid Sanctions Talks

U.S. oil major Chevron is reportedly in discussions with the U.S. government to expand a crucial license that would allow it to increase crude oil exports from Venezuela, according to sources close to the negotiations. The...

Science

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Technology

EU Orders Elon Musk’s X to Preserve Grok AI Data Amid Probe Into Illegal Content

The European Commission has ordered Elon Musks social media platform X, formerly known as Twitter, to retain all internal documents and data related to its built-in artificial intelligence chatbot, Grok, until the end of...

SK Hynix Shares Hit Record High as AI Memory Demand Fuels Semiconductor Rally

Shares of South Korean memory chip giant SK Hynix surged to a fresh all-time high on Thursday, reflecting growing investor optimism around booming demand for artificial intelligence (AI) memory products and a strengthening...

OpenAI Sets $50 Billion Stock Grant Pool, Boosting Employee Equity and Valuation Outlook

OpenAI has reportedly established a massive $50 billion employee stock grant pool, a move that underscores the companys aggressive strategy to attract, retain, and reward top talent as it continues to scale its artificial...

Ford Targets Level 3 Autonomous Driving by 2028 with New EV Platform and AI Innovations

Ford Motor Company has announced plans to bring Level 3 driver-assistance technology to market by 2028, marking a significant step toward hands-free and eyes-off driving on select highways. The advanced system will allow...

Samsung Forecasts Strong Q4 Profit on AI-Driven Memory Chip Boom

Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (KS:005930) surprised markets by forecasting a stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter operating profit, driven by surging global demand for memory chips fueled by artificial intelligence. The...