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FxWirePro: EUR/JPY retraces from session highs at 130.50, focus on eurozone CPI data for further impetus

  • EUR/JPY retraces from session highs at 130.50, hovers around 100-DMA at 130.16.
     
  • The pair trades with a mild bullish bias. decisive close above 100-DMA could see further upside.
     
  • Price action has bounced off 50-DMA support and has broken above 21-EMA.
     
  • Stochs are on verge of rollover from oversold levels and RSI has turned north. We also see bullish +ve DMI crossover on -ve DMI.
     
  • JPY was offered across the board after BoJ's decision to keep yield target unchanged.
     
  • The move has reinforced the view that the ultra-loose monetary policy will remain in place for a long as inflation remains below its 2 percent objective. 
     
  • Focus on eurozone preliminary consumer price index (CPI), scheduled for release at 06:00 GMT.
     
  • CPI is expected to rise 2 percent year-on-year in July. The core CPI is seen rising 1 percent. An above-forecast reading could put a strong bid under the EUR.
     
  • Also, eurozone Q2 GDP reading, due at 09:00 GMT will be watched for further impetus.

Support levels - 130.16 (100-DMA), 130.02 (21-EMA), 129.10 (50-DMA)

Resistance levels - 131.06 (50% Fib), 131.35 (May 22 high), 131.73 (50W SMA)

Recommendation: Watch out for close above 100-DMA for further upside.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly EUR Spot Index was at 45.0161 (Neutral), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at -188.042 (Bearish) at 0645 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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