Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025 
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge 
Fed May Resume Rate Hikes: BofA Analysts Outline Key Scenarios 
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes 
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts 
Lithium Market Poised for Recovery Amid Supply Cuts and Rising Demand 
U.S. Stocks vs. Bonds: Are Diverging Valuations Signaling a Shift? 
Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data 
Mexico's Undervalued Equity Market Offers Long-Term Investment Potential 
China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data 
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation 
Indonesia Surprises Markets with Interest Rate Cut Amid Currency Pressure 
Stock Futures Dip as Investors Await Key Payrolls Data 
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data 
UBS Projects Mixed Market Outlook for 2025 Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty 
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed 
Trump’s "Shock and Awe" Agenda: Executive Orders from Day One 
The US dollar index trades lower after two days of pullback. Fed Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler said "At some point, the continued cooling of inflation and labor markets may make it appropriate to reduce the target range for the federal funds rate," Fed Minneapolis President expressed caution about an early rate cut and possible of two to three rate cut this year. It hit a low of 103.95 and is currently trading around 104.13
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in Mar increased to 81.50% from 45.5% a week ago.
The US 10-year yields trade weak despite the delay in the rate cut. The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -32% from -53%.
Major resistance- 104.60/106
Major support- 103.60/102.90.
EURUSD-
EURUSD showed a minor pullback after a massive sell-off. German Industrial production declined for the seventh consecutive month to -1.6%, compared to a forecast of -0.40%.
Major resistance-1.0800,1.0850
Major support- 1.072,1.06600
Yen-
The yen lost its shine after dovish comments from BOJ Deputy Governor. Any break above 150 confirms further bullishness.
Major Resistance- 150,152
Major support- 148,146.50
Canadian Dollar
The Canadian dollar trades higher on surging crude oil prices.
Resistance- 1.3550,1.3660
Major support- 1.3435,1.3300
