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Adrian Beaumont

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections. In June 2022 I joined The Conversation staff as an election analyst.

Conservative landslide at UK's Brexit election; Trump's ratings rise on strong US economy

Dec 14, 2019 09:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the December 12 UK election, the Conservatives won 365 of the 650 House of Commons seats (up 48 since the 2017 election), Labour 202 (down 60), the Scottish National Party (SNP) 48 (up 13) and the Liberal Democrats 11...

Warren placed second after Biden, as Trump's ratings rise. But could the impeachment scandal make a difference?

Sep 28, 2019 13:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Two weeks after the September 12 Democratic presidential debate, Joe Biden continues to lead with 29.0% in the RealClearPolitics Democratic national average, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 21.4%, Bernie Sanders at 17.3%,...

Biden still leads US Democratic primaries, Trump's ratings fall slightly after gun massacres, plus Australian preference flows

Aug 15, 2019 17:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

After the first Democratic presidential debate on June 25-26, Joe Biden fell in Democratic national presidential polls, and Kamala Harris surged. In the lead-up to the July 30-31 debate, Biden recovered lost support while...

US Dem presidential primaries: Biden leading, followed by Sanders, Warren, Harris; and will Trump be beaten?

Jul 22, 2019 13:38 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The next US presidential election will be held on November 3, 2020. Incumbent president Donald Trump will almost certainly be the Republican nominee, but there is a contest for the Democratic presidential nomination. The...

Final 2019 election results: education divide explains the Coalition's upset victory

Jun 19, 2019 02:31 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the May 18 election, the size of the lower house was expanded from 150 to 151 seats. The Coalition parties won 77 seats (up one since the 2016 election), Labor 68 (down one) and the crossbench six (up one). The...

2001 polls in review: September 11 influenced election outcome far more than Tampa incident

Feb 24, 2019 06:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Many commentators have compared Labors support for the Medevac legislation with the Tampa incident in late August 2001. The implication is that Labor lost the 2001 election due to Tampa, and could lose this years election...

Democrats take House at US midterm elections, but Republicans keep Senate; Labor well ahead in Victoria

Nov 08, 2018 17:20 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

US midterm elections were held today. All 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senators were up for election. Democrats were defending 26 Senators, including some states that Trump won by big margins in 2016, and Republicans...

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Economy

Citigroup AI Tools Transform Workflows for 140,000 Employees Across Eight Countries

Citigroup has launched AI tools for 140,000 employees in eight countries, aiming to streamline operations and foster efficiency. The rollout includes Citi Assist and Citi Stylus, which are designed to simplify complex...

Air Canada Unveils New Carry-On Fee Policy Amid Backlash from Ottawa Over Added Passenger Costs

Air Canada will impose carry-on bag fees for basic fare passengers starting Jan. 3, citing rising operational costs. Ottawa criticized the policy, saying it burdens Canadian travelers already grappling with increased...

Powell Signals Fed’s Rate Cut Path May Slow, Citing Economic Strength and Uncertainty

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday emphasized economic strength as a factor in potentially slowing the pace of interest rate cuts, urging flexibility in the Feds strategy ahead of the December...

Gold Surges as South Korea Martial Law Uproar and Israel-Lebanon Strikes Shake Markets; Powell’s Address Looms

Gold prices climbed on Wednesday as South Koreas martial law crisis and Israel-Lebanon tensions boosted safe-haven demand. Spot gold edged up 0.1% to $2,646.53 per ounce, with traders eyeing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome...

Asia Stocks Reel from South Korea’s Martial Law Reversal and Political Turmoil

Asian stocks tumbled Wednesday, led by South Koreas KOSPI falling over 2%, as President Yoon Suk-Yeols abrupt martial law and its reversal deepened political unrest, unnerving investors across the region. Asian Stocks...

Politics

What is Donald Trump’s stance on cryptocurrency mining regulations in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has articulated a comprehensive approach to cryptocurrency mining regulations set to take effect in 2025. His strategy emphasizes bolstering the domestic crypto industry while implementing...

How will Donald Trump protect Americans’ retirement savings in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has unveiled a series of proposals aimed at safeguarding Americans retirement savings in 2025. These initiatives focus on tax reforms, Social Security adjustments, and modifications to...

What are Donald Trump’s plans for community policing programs in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has outlined a comprehensive strategy to enhance community policing programs in 2025, emphasizing a law and order approach. This plan includes increased funding for law enforcement, the...

What are Donald Trump’s initiatives for affordable housing in urban areas in 2025?

As housing affordability reaches a critical tipping point in urban centers across the United States, President Donald Trump has unveiled an ambitious set of initiatives aimed at addressing the crisis in 2025. The proposed...

How will Donald Trump address aviation safety concerns in 2025?

As the aviation industry faces increasing scrutiny due to rising safety concerns, President Donald Trump has announced his ambitious plans to address these issues head-on in 2025. Aviation safety has become a significant...

Science

How is Donald Trump prioritizing funding for cancer research in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has announced a major initiative to prioritize funding for cancer research in 2025, pledging billions in federal support to combat one of the worlds leading causes of death. The plan includes...

How will Donald Trump address renewable energy research funding in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has revealed plans to reshape the U.S. renewable energy landscape in 2025, sparking debates about the administrations commitment to combating climate change. While Trumps previous term focused...

RNA editing is the next frontier in gene therapy – here’s what you need to know

The United States Food and Drug Administration has just approved the first-ever clinical trial that uses CRISPR-Cas13 RNA editing. Its aim is to treat an eye disease called wet age-related macular degeneration that causes...

From using plant rinds to high-tech materials, bike helmets have improved significantly over the past 2 centuries

Imagine its the mid-1800s, and youre riding your high-wheeled, penny-farthing bicycle down a dusty road. Sure, it may have some bumps, but if you lose your balance, youre landing on a relatively soft dirt road. But as the...

Why does everything look flat even though the Earth is round?

Ever since the ancient Greeks first made observations of the circular Moon and the skies, scientists have known that the Earth is a sphere. Weve all seen beautiful images of the Earth from space, some photographed by...

Technology

ChatGPT Ads Could Be OpenAI’s Next Move, but Sam Altman Fears Erosion of User Trust

Facing financial strain, OpenAI is evaluating an ad model for ChatGPT. Sam Altman, however, has voiced concerns, cautioning that such a move could damage user trust and conflict with the companys ethical goals. OpenAIs...

Samsung AR Glasses May Finally Debut at Unpacked 2025 With the Galaxy S25 in Tow

Samsungs AR glasses, delayed for years, might finally debut at Unpacked 2025, launching alongside the Galaxy S25. The collaboration with Google and Qualcomm suggests a bold step forward in mixed-reality...

Samsung and SK Hynix Lead the Charge on LPDDR6-PIM Memory to Smash AI Bottlenecks

Samsung and SK Hynix, giants in the DRAM industry, have partnered to standardize LPDDR6-PIM memory. This groundbreaking effort targets AI bottlenecks and power challenges, paving the way for revolutionary performance gains...

Kia’s EV4 Breaks Cover for 2025: Entry-Level Electric Sedan to Shake Up the Affordable EV Market

Kias EV4 is officially on its way for 2025, promising to disrupt the entry-level EV market with bold design, cutting-edge technology, and starting prices around $30,000. Positioned as part of Kias push for EVs for all, the...

Tesla Scores Big as Longtime Critic Turns Bullish, Boosting Price Target from $85 to $380

Teslas stock received a major boost as Roth MKMs Craig Irwin upgraded his rating from Neutral to Buy, raising the price target to $380. Irwin, a longtime Tesla skeptic, now sees Trump-backed policies and a growing...