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Adrian Beaumont

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections. In June 2022 I joined The Conversation staff as an election analyst.

Poll wrap: Morrison's ratings slump in Newspoll; Wentworth's huge difference in on-the-day and early voting

Oct 29, 2018 19:31 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted October 25-28 from a sample of 1,650, gave Labor a 54-46 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since last fortnight. Primary votes were 39% Labor (up one), 36% Coalition (down one), 9% Greens...

Poll wrap: Labor slips in Newspoll, but gains in Ipsos, in Wentworth and in Victoria

Oct 16, 2018 15:12 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted October 11-14 from a sample of 1,707, gave Labor a 53-47 lead, a one-point gain for the Coalition since three weeks ago. Primary votes were 38% Labor (down one), 37% Coalition (up one), 11%...

Poll wrap: Worst reaction to midterm PM change in Newspoll history; contrary polls in Dutton's Dickson

Aug 28, 2018 12:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted August 24-26 - the days following the leadership spill - from a sample of 1,780, gave Labor a massive 56-44 lead, a five point gain for Labor since last fortnight. Primary votes were 41%...

How the hard right terminated Turnbull, only to see Scott Morrison become PM

Aug 25, 2018 07:52 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

After a week of vicious internal party politics, Malcolm Turnbull has been deposed as prime minister and replaced not by Peter Dutton, but Scott Morrison. In todays party room vote, Morrison, who was supported by Turnbull,...

Polls update: Trump’s ratings held up by US economy; Australian polls steady

Aug 13, 2018 15:05 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Three months before the November 6 US midterm elections, the FiveThirtyEight poll aggregate gives Donald Trump a 41.7% approval rating and a 52.5% disapproval rating, for a net approval of -10.8. Despite issues such as...

Poll wrap: Turnbull’s Newspoll ratings slump; Labor leads in Victoria; Longman preferences helped LNP

Aug 13, 2018 12:46 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This weeks Newspoll, conducted August 9-12 from a sample of 1,607, gave Labor a 51-49 lead, unchanged on last fortnight. Primary votes were 37% Coalition (down two), 35% Labor (down one), 10% Greens (steady) and 9% One...

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Economy

Citigroup AI Tools Transform Workflows for 140,000 Employees Across Eight Countries

Citigroup has launched AI tools for 140,000 employees in eight countries, aiming to streamline operations and foster efficiency. The rollout includes Citi Assist and Citi Stylus, which are designed to simplify complex...

Air Canada Unveils New Carry-On Fee Policy Amid Backlash from Ottawa Over Added Passenger Costs

Air Canada will impose carry-on bag fees for basic fare passengers starting Jan. 3, citing rising operational costs. Ottawa criticized the policy, saying it burdens Canadian travelers already grappling with increased...

Powell Signals Fed’s Rate Cut Path May Slow, Citing Economic Strength and Uncertainty

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday emphasized economic strength as a factor in potentially slowing the pace of interest rate cuts, urging flexibility in the Feds strategy ahead of the December...

Gold Surges as South Korea Martial Law Uproar and Israel-Lebanon Strikes Shake Markets; Powell’s Address Looms

Gold prices climbed on Wednesday as South Koreas martial law crisis and Israel-Lebanon tensions boosted safe-haven demand. Spot gold edged up 0.1% to $2,646.53 per ounce, with traders eyeing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome...

Asia Stocks Reel from South Korea’s Martial Law Reversal and Political Turmoil

Asian stocks tumbled Wednesday, led by South Koreas KOSPI falling over 2%, as President Yoon Suk-Yeols abrupt martial law and its reversal deepened political unrest, unnerving investors across the region. Asian Stocks...

Politics

What is Donald Trump’s stance on cryptocurrency mining regulations in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has articulated a comprehensive approach to cryptocurrency mining regulations set to take effect in 2025. His strategy emphasizes bolstering the domestic crypto industry while implementing...

How will Donald Trump protect Americans’ retirement savings in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has unveiled a series of proposals aimed at safeguarding Americans retirement savings in 2025. These initiatives focus on tax reforms, Social Security adjustments, and modifications to...

What are Donald Trump’s plans for community policing programs in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has outlined a comprehensive strategy to enhance community policing programs in 2025, emphasizing a law and order approach. This plan includes increased funding for law enforcement, the...

What are Donald Trump’s initiatives for affordable housing in urban areas in 2025?

As housing affordability reaches a critical tipping point in urban centers across the United States, President Donald Trump has unveiled an ambitious set of initiatives aimed at addressing the crisis in 2025. The proposed...

How will Donald Trump address aviation safety concerns in 2025?

As the aviation industry faces increasing scrutiny due to rising safety concerns, President Donald Trump has announced his ambitious plans to address these issues head-on in 2025. Aviation safety has become a significant...

Science

How is Donald Trump prioritizing funding for cancer research in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has announced a major initiative to prioritize funding for cancer research in 2025, pledging billions in federal support to combat one of the worlds leading causes of death. The plan includes...

How will Donald Trump address renewable energy research funding in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has revealed plans to reshape the U.S. renewable energy landscape in 2025, sparking debates about the administrations commitment to combating climate change. While Trumps previous term focused...

RNA editing is the next frontier in gene therapy – here’s what you need to know

The United States Food and Drug Administration has just approved the first-ever clinical trial that uses CRISPR-Cas13 RNA editing. Its aim is to treat an eye disease called wet age-related macular degeneration that causes...

From using plant rinds to high-tech materials, bike helmets have improved significantly over the past 2 centuries

Imagine its the mid-1800s, and youre riding your high-wheeled, penny-farthing bicycle down a dusty road. Sure, it may have some bumps, but if you lose your balance, youre landing on a relatively soft dirt road. But as the...

Why does everything look flat even though the Earth is round?

Ever since the ancient Greeks first made observations of the circular Moon and the skies, scientists have known that the Earth is a sphere. Weve all seen beautiful images of the Earth from space, some photographed by...

Technology

ChatGPT Ads Could Be OpenAI’s Next Move, but Sam Altman Fears Erosion of User Trust

Facing financial strain, OpenAI is evaluating an ad model for ChatGPT. Sam Altman, however, has voiced concerns, cautioning that such a move could damage user trust and conflict with the companys ethical goals. OpenAIs...

Samsung AR Glasses May Finally Debut at Unpacked 2025 With the Galaxy S25 in Tow

Samsungs AR glasses, delayed for years, might finally debut at Unpacked 2025, launching alongside the Galaxy S25. The collaboration with Google and Qualcomm suggests a bold step forward in mixed-reality...

Samsung and SK Hynix Lead the Charge on LPDDR6-PIM Memory to Smash AI Bottlenecks

Samsung and SK Hynix, giants in the DRAM industry, have partnered to standardize LPDDR6-PIM memory. This groundbreaking effort targets AI bottlenecks and power challenges, paving the way for revolutionary performance gains...

Kia’s EV4 Breaks Cover for 2025: Entry-Level Electric Sedan to Shake Up the Affordable EV Market

Kias EV4 is officially on its way for 2025, promising to disrupt the entry-level EV market with bold design, cutting-edge technology, and starting prices around $30,000. Positioned as part of Kias push for EVs for all, the...

Tesla Scores Big as Longtime Critic Turns Bullish, Boosting Price Target from $85 to $380

Teslas stock received a major boost as Roth MKMs Craig Irwin upgraded his rating from Neutral to Buy, raising the price target to $380. Irwin, a longtime Tesla skeptic, now sees Trump-backed policies and a growing...