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Adrian Beaumont

I have completed my PhD at the University of Melbourne’s School of Mathematics and Statistics, and graduated 6 August 2016. I am now an Honorary Associate at the School. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. I have been writing poll and electoral analysis articles for The Conversation since prior to the 2013 Federal election on Federal, state and some international elections. In June 2022 I joined The Conversation staff as an election analyst.

The US could default on June 1 owing to gridlock over the debt limit; Biden vs Trump polls are close

May 23, 2023 15:21 pm UTC| Economy Politics

The United States debt limit is a legislative limit on the overall debt the US government can incur. As the US keeps running budget deficits, the debt keeps increasing. Congress could deal with this permanently by either...

Republicans gain in US midterm polls with three weeks until election

Oct 21, 2022 06:17 am UTC| Politics

The United States midterm elections will be held in nearly three weeks, on November 8. All 435 House of Representatives seats are up for election, as well as 35 of the 100 senators. Democrats won the House by 222-213 in...

Morrison slumps in Newspoll but Coalition gains, as lockdown shows vaccination is essential

Jun 08, 2021 00:16 am UTC| Politics

This weeks Newspoll had Labor and the Coalition tied at 50-50 on a two-party-preferred basis. This is a one point gain for the Coalition since the last Newspoll, three weeks ago. Primary votes were 41% Coalition (steady),...

Joe Biden wins US presidential election as mail-in votes turn key states around

Nov 08, 2020 10:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Pennsylvania and Nevada were today called for Joe Biden, taking him to 279 Electoral Votes, nine more than the 270 required to win. Biden is now the US president-elect, defeating an incumbent president for the first time...

Will coronavirus damage Trump in the US general election? And Morrison's ratings improve in Newspoll

Mar 17, 2020 01:37 am UTC| Politics

Four states hold Democratic primaries on Wednesday in Australia: Florida, Ohio, Illinois and Arizona. These states will award 14.5% of all pledged delegates, taking us to 61.5% of total delegates. But given Joe Bidens...

Bernie Sanders easily wins Nevada caucus; the Coalition regains support in Newspoll

Feb 26, 2020 07:45 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Bernie Sanders has easily won the Nevada Democratic caucus, cementing his status as front-runner for the Democratic nomination in the US presidential election. With 88% of precincts reporting, Sanders won 47.1% of...

With four days remaining, Sanders leads narrowly in Iowa, but Biden leads nationally

Feb 03, 2020 12:36 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Four days before the US Iowa Democratic caucuses next Tuesday AEDT, the RealClearPolitics poll average has Bernie Sanders narrowly leading with 23.8%, followed by Joe Biden on 20.2%, Pete Buttigieg 15.8%, Elizabeth Warren...

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Economy

Citigroup AI Tools Transform Workflows for 140,000 Employees Across Eight Countries

Citigroup has launched AI tools for 140,000 employees in eight countries, aiming to streamline operations and foster efficiency. The rollout includes Citi Assist and Citi Stylus, which are designed to simplify complex...

Air Canada Unveils New Carry-On Fee Policy Amid Backlash from Ottawa Over Added Passenger Costs

Air Canada will impose carry-on bag fees for basic fare passengers starting Jan. 3, citing rising operational costs. Ottawa criticized the policy, saying it burdens Canadian travelers already grappling with increased...

Powell Signals Fed’s Rate Cut Path May Slow, Citing Economic Strength and Uncertainty

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday emphasized economic strength as a factor in potentially slowing the pace of interest rate cuts, urging flexibility in the Feds strategy ahead of the December...

Gold Surges as South Korea Martial Law Uproar and Israel-Lebanon Strikes Shake Markets; Powell’s Address Looms

Gold prices climbed on Wednesday as South Koreas martial law crisis and Israel-Lebanon tensions boosted safe-haven demand. Spot gold edged up 0.1% to $2,646.53 per ounce, with traders eyeing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome...

Asia Stocks Reel from South Korea’s Martial Law Reversal and Political Turmoil

Asian stocks tumbled Wednesday, led by South Koreas KOSPI falling over 2%, as President Yoon Suk-Yeols abrupt martial law and its reversal deepened political unrest, unnerving investors across the region. Asian Stocks...

Politics

What is Donald Trump’s stance on cryptocurrency mining regulations in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has articulated a comprehensive approach to cryptocurrency mining regulations set to take effect in 2025. His strategy emphasizes bolstering the domestic crypto industry while implementing...

How will Donald Trump protect Americans’ retirement savings in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has unveiled a series of proposals aimed at safeguarding Americans retirement savings in 2025. These initiatives focus on tax reforms, Social Security adjustments, and modifications to...

What are Donald Trump’s plans for community policing programs in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has outlined a comprehensive strategy to enhance community policing programs in 2025, emphasizing a law and order approach. This plan includes increased funding for law enforcement, the...

What are Donald Trump’s initiatives for affordable housing in urban areas in 2025?

As housing affordability reaches a critical tipping point in urban centers across the United States, President Donald Trump has unveiled an ambitious set of initiatives aimed at addressing the crisis in 2025. The proposed...

How will Donald Trump address aviation safety concerns in 2025?

As the aviation industry faces increasing scrutiny due to rising safety concerns, President Donald Trump has announced his ambitious plans to address these issues head-on in 2025. Aviation safety has become a significant...

Science

How is Donald Trump prioritizing funding for cancer research in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has announced a major initiative to prioritize funding for cancer research in 2025, pledging billions in federal support to combat one of the worlds leading causes of death. The plan includes...

How will Donald Trump address renewable energy research funding in 2025?

President-elect Donald Trump has revealed plans to reshape the U.S. renewable energy landscape in 2025, sparking debates about the administrations commitment to combating climate change. While Trumps previous term focused...

RNA editing is the next frontier in gene therapy – here’s what you need to know

The United States Food and Drug Administration has just approved the first-ever clinical trial that uses CRISPR-Cas13 RNA editing. Its aim is to treat an eye disease called wet age-related macular degeneration that causes...

From using plant rinds to high-tech materials, bike helmets have improved significantly over the past 2 centuries

Imagine its the mid-1800s, and youre riding your high-wheeled, penny-farthing bicycle down a dusty road. Sure, it may have some bumps, but if you lose your balance, youre landing on a relatively soft dirt road. But as the...

Why does everything look flat even though the Earth is round?

Ever since the ancient Greeks first made observations of the circular Moon and the skies, scientists have known that the Earth is a sphere. Weve all seen beautiful images of the Earth from space, some photographed by...

Technology

ChatGPT Ads Could Be OpenAI’s Next Move, but Sam Altman Fears Erosion of User Trust

Facing financial strain, OpenAI is evaluating an ad model for ChatGPT. Sam Altman, however, has voiced concerns, cautioning that such a move could damage user trust and conflict with the companys ethical goals. OpenAIs...

Samsung AR Glasses May Finally Debut at Unpacked 2025 With the Galaxy S25 in Tow

Samsungs AR glasses, delayed for years, might finally debut at Unpacked 2025, launching alongside the Galaxy S25. The collaboration with Google and Qualcomm suggests a bold step forward in mixed-reality...

Samsung and SK Hynix Lead the Charge on LPDDR6-PIM Memory to Smash AI Bottlenecks

Samsung and SK Hynix, giants in the DRAM industry, have partnered to standardize LPDDR6-PIM memory. This groundbreaking effort targets AI bottlenecks and power challenges, paving the way for revolutionary performance gains...

Kia’s EV4 Breaks Cover for 2025: Entry-Level Electric Sedan to Shake Up the Affordable EV Market

Kias EV4 is officially on its way for 2025, promising to disrupt the entry-level EV market with bold design, cutting-edge technology, and starting prices around $30,000. Positioned as part of Kias push for EVs for all, the...

Tesla Scores Big as Longtime Critic Turns Bullish, Boosting Price Target from $85 to $380

Teslas stock received a major boost as Roth MKMs Craig Irwin upgraded his rating from Neutral to Buy, raising the price target to $380. Irwin, a longtime Tesla skeptic, now sees Trump-backed policies and a growing...