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A new oil order has emerged over the past few years as oil prices have taken a plunge of about 60%. U.S., world’s one of key importer is about to become a major exporter of hydrocarbons. OPEC cartel, which has historically been a key player politically and price maker, losing its relevance and pricing power. On the energy front, renewables and gas becoming key challenger to oil’s global dominance. Moreover, this lower price is hitting energy exporters harder, creating global economic vulnerabilities. This new oil price and geo-political order demand greater analysis, which is the main focus of this series.

Oil in Global Economy Series

US crude supply likely to drop by 0.5mb/d in 2017

Feb 03, 2016 07:37 am UTC| Commentary

A stronger dollar, a supply glut and warm weather depressed crude oil prices. If the warmer than normal weather conditions continue, oil prices are expected to further face downward pressure. More product and build up of...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Larger output cutbacks needed to rebalance the oil market

Feb 02, 2016 15:57 pm UTC| Commentary

Oversupply conditions continue to dominate the outlook for crude oil markets, with increasing inflows from Iran and Iraq. There has been a multi-year build-up in the output capabilities of non-OPEC energy producers, led by...

Oil in Global Economy Series

How Saudi Arabia's grip on oil prices could bring Russia to its knees

Feb 02, 2016 14:52 pm UTC| Insights & Views

When Saudi Arabia led an OPEC decision to end a restraint put on oil production in November 2014, it marked the beginning of a new era in oil economics. It has given us a tumbling oil price, prompted huge losses and job...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Oil stabilizes after Saudi – Russia production cuts report

Feb 01, 2016 23:27 pm UTC| Commentary

The biggest exogenous shock over the past month was undoubtedly the slump in crude oil prices. Nowadays volatility on the oil market is very high and the ongoing erosion of oil investments could prevent prices sliding to...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Has the oil market bottomed out?

Jan 29, 2016 15:34 pm UTC| Commentary

After hitting multi-year lows, oil prices have leapt this week. The relief rally was triggered by the prospect of an alliance between Russia, Saudi Arabia and further OPEC countries to cut output. Global benchmark Brent...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Rosneft plays down output cut, oil might still gain to $40/barrel

Jan 29, 2016 13:39 pm UTC| Commentary

On Thursday, oil price got energized and rose as much as 8%, after Russias energy minister Alexander Novak told journalists that Russia is ready to take part in a meeting with OPEC members in February. Market read it as...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Oil price enjoying roller coaster movement under facts and rumours

Jan 28, 2016 22:00 pm UTC| Commentary

The recent free fall of oil prices made the global economy in to threat. Prices were down by as much as 3% and were trading at below $30 per barrel. But the recent correction was driven by news that Russia has decided to...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

Extraordinary Vietnam fraud case exposes the inherent vulnerabilities of banks

The financial crisis of 2008 showed just how much the world depends on banks being well run. Since then, regulators have been given new powers to keep some of the biggest institutions on a much shorter leash to stamp out...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Military conscription is returning to Europe, but is it really a more equal way of mobilising? What history tells us

The idea that conscription, defined as the compulsory enlistment of citizens for military service, can increase equality and instil a sense of solidarity that transcends traditional societal divides has echoed throughout...

The 50th anniversary of Portugal’s Carnation Revolution

Across Portugal, a number of photography exhibitions are currently on display that commemorate the ousting of the Estado Novo, the dictatorial, authoritarian and corporatist political regime that had ruled the country...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Shiba Inu Whale Moves 100 Billion SHIB Before FOMC, Signals Market Stir

In a surprising move, a mysterious Shiba Inu whale deposited 100 billion SHIB tokens into Coinbase, coinciding with a significant price drop just before the Federal Reserves crucial rate decision. This action has stirred...

Dongfeng Unveils High-Power Tesla Cybertruck Rival, Eyes Production in Italy

At the Beijing Auto Show, Dongfeng Motor Group showcased a Cybertruck-inspired electric vehicle boasting an impressive 1,305 horsepower, signaling its ambitions to produce over 100,000 electrified cars annually in Italy....

Biden Administration Set to Finalize Stricter EV Tax Credit Rules

The Biden administration is finalizing new electric vehicle tax credit rules, slashing the list of eligible models to just 13. This update, part of a broader effort to refine economic incentives before the election,...

Zeus Network Set to Launch Solana to Bitcoin Bridge in Q3 2024

Zeus Network has announced the launch of Zeus Program Library (ZPL) by Q3 2024, a pioneering bridge designed to connect and enhance asset transfer between the Solana and Bitcoin ecosystems, offering broad applications in...
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