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Oil in Global Economy Series

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A new oil order has emerged over the past few years as oil prices have taken a plunge of about 60%. U.S., world’s one of key importer is about to become a major exporter of hydrocarbons. OPEC cartel, which has historically been a key player politically and price maker, losing its relevance and pricing power. On the energy front, renewables and gas becoming key challenger to oil’s global dominance. Moreover, this lower price is hitting energy exporters harder, creating global economic vulnerabilities. This new oil price and geo-political order demand greater analysis, which is the main focus of this series.

Oil in Global Economy Series

Negative implications of lower oil price dominate market worries

Jan 27, 2016 09:01 am UTC| Commentary

In 2016, oil prices have declined to the lowest level since the beginning of 2000s. Actually the decline of oil prices should be positive news for the global economy. The drop in oil prices mainly due to excess supply is a...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Are lower oil prices good or bad?

Jan 26, 2016 18:32 pm UTC| Commentary

In principle, a lower oil price should be positive for the world economy. The transfer of income from producers to consumers, who are more likely to spend on other goods and services, should boost global demand. At worst,...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Why OPEC-Russia cooperation not enough to push oil price higher for long?

Jan 26, 2016 07:31 am UTC| Commentary

There are little to speculate bullish from recent indication that Russias second largest oil producer Lukoil might be willing to cooperate with OPEC in production if political will present in Moscow. There are several...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Oil in global economy series – Why Petro-Dollars matter?

Jan 25, 2016 11:57 am UTC| Commentary

In December, we wrote a post saying high leverage in emerging market debt and repercussions of lower oil price are the two biggest risks in 2016. Since the beginning of the year, both have proven to be quite decisive in...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Fitch: Weaker Oil Prices to Challenge EMEA Majors' Ratings

Jan 25, 2016 09:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Weak oil prices in 2016 will leave five of seven large EMEA oil companies with financial leverage above the level Fitch Ratings normally considers appropriate for their current ratings, by a median of 0.6x, according to...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Higher oil prices, strong housing bolster central banks' stimulus hopes

Jan 22, 2016 18:05 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Markets around the world surged onthe speculation that central banks will increase stimulus in reaction to the recent tumultuous financial markets. Particularly European markets improved significantly off word that ECB...

Oil in Global Economy Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

Crude gets interim strength but dips below $30 on the cards

Jan 22, 2016 14:59 pm UTC| Insights & Views

The marchBrent contracts (BRG2016) were up at $37.13 a barrel. U.S. oil futures had jumped from $27 dollars a barrel soon after yesterday is inventory check, but the slumps towards 27 should not be ruled out and get...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

The Mattei Plan: why Giorgia Meloni is looking to Africa

Since coming to power, Giorgia Melonis government has been remarkably orthodox in its foreign policy. Unwavering support for Ukraine, loyalty to the Atlantic Alliance and full participation in the European Union - these...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Military conscription is returning to Europe, but is it really a more equal way of mobilising? What history tells us

The idea that conscription, defined as the compulsory enlistment of citizens for military service, can increase equality and instil a sense of solidarity that transcends traditional societal divides has echoed throughout...

The 50th anniversary of Portugal’s Carnation Revolution

Across Portugal, a number of photography exhibitions are currently on display that commemorate the ousting of the Estado Novo, the dictatorial, authoritarian and corporatist political regime that had ruled the country...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Analyst Sees Shiba Inu Hitting $0.00007 Despite Major Token Dump

A Shiba Inu whale recently dumped massive SHIB tokens on Coinbase, one of the worlds top cryptocurrency exchanges. The enormous volume of SHIB offloaded quickly sparked a gloomy feeling among crypto market aficionados...

Casio Joins NFT Trend with Astar zkEVM, Unveils Anniversary Collection

Casio, one of the worlds leading watch companies, has joined the battle for non-fungible tokens (NFTs) in partnership with Astars zero-knowledge Ethereum Virtual Machine. The Casio watch NFTs will go online on May...

Tron's Justin Sun Boosts Dogecoin, Shiba Inu at Token 2049 Conference

At the Token 2049 conference, Tron founder Justin Sun endorsed popular meme coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, emphasizing their pivotal distinction from traditional finance and celebrating their community-driven...

Bitcoin Dips 11% Post-Halving: Unexpected Decline Shocks Investors

Bitcoins price has unexpectedly fallen by 11% since the halving on April 20, stirring concerns among investors hoping for a post-halving surge. According to CoinGecko, Bitcoin dropped below $57,000 on May...

South Korea Pledges 5-Year Boost in Console Gaming Market Share

With an eye toward reducing dependence on mobile platforms, South Koreas government laid out a five-year plan Wednesday to bolster its console gaming sector, which currently represents a mere 1.5% of the global...